Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Pick – NFL Week 6

The Las Vegas Raiders head to Mile High looking to focus on football and not the off-field noise around them. It’s been a tough week for the organization, as everyone knows by now about the Jon Gruden situation.

Gruden is long gone, but he leaves a trail of destruction in his path. The Raiders are forced to change gears and go with an interim head coach now. Special teams coordinator and assistant head coach, Rich Bisaccia, is in as the boss for the Raiders on gameday now.

This is a big opportunity for Bisaccia to possibly lose the interim tag and become the full time head coach. The Raiders will assess the situation at the end of the season and do their due diligence. Bisaccia will naturally receive an interview if he does well enough this season.

He inherits a team that is coming off a bad performance at home against the Chicago Bears. The Bears went to Vegas and left with a 20-9 win. The Raiders’ offense didn’t look interested, like perhaps their minds were on something else. I wonder what it possibly could have been.

That looks like the final game of Gruden’s coaching career. It goes without saying that the ten-year $100 million contract didn’t work out well. For the Raiders, they have to move on from this all as quickly as possible. Getting back on the field is the best way to do it. That said, it could take more than a game.

The Denver Broncos welcome the Raiders to Denver following a 27-19 loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers. This was after a 23-7 loss versus the Baltimore Ravens at home. They’re going into Week 6 with a record of 3-2.

Those three wins were against the Giants, Jaguars, and Jets. You can make the argument that they won the winnable games, yeah, that’s important, but the Broncos are still looking for a win over a playoff team. The Raiders don’t look like a playoff team, though this would be their best win of the year. Head below for our free Raiders vs. Broncos pick on October 17, 2021.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Las Vegas Raiders +4 (-112) +173 Over 43 (-115)
Denver Broncos -4 (-108) -198 Under 43 (-105)
Team Data Las Vegas Raiders Denver Broncos
Overall Record 3-2 3-2
ATS Record 2-3-0 3-2-0
Away/Home Record 1-1 1-1
ATS Away/Home 1-1-0 1-1-0
Points Per Game 22.6 20.4
Points Against Per Game 24 15.2
Passing Yards Per Game 298.4 239.2
Rushing Yards Per Game 78.6 118.6

Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction:

The Raiders were looking like a pretty solid team before doing nothing against the Bears last week. Everyone seemed to be on the same page with the organization going in the right direction. That was before Jon Gruden’s emails leaked, and the Raiders no showed at home against the Bears.

This was after the Raiders didn’t keep up with the Chargers in a 28-14 loss. That’s expected against a very good Chargers team, but the effort versus the Bears was disheartening. Now how are they going to reach with Gruden getting canned and a new head coach taking over?

This situation certainly isn’t ideal, but at least Derek Carr has taken on more of a leadership role over the last two years. Carr has passed for 1,605 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 63.9% completions.

The offense has put up 377 yards per game for 13th in the NFL. It’s been all Carr with little help from the running game. Josh Jacobs and the backfield hasn’t been up to par, as they’ve gained just 78.6 yards per game for 29th in the league.

Denver is tough to run on, and the same goes for their secondary. All-around the Broncos might be an average team, though their defense has been performing at a high level. They are third in the league with an impressive 292.4 yards conceded per game. With only 15.2 points against per game, the Broncos are second in the league.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Betting Trends:


  • 3-8 ATS in their previous 11 games
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games on the road
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games in October
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Broncos
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games in October
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games on the road versus the Broncos


  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • 8-4 ATS in their previous 12 games in October
  • 10-3 ATS in their previous 13 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 12-5 ATS in their previous 17 games after a loss
  • 3-9-1 ATS in their previous 13 games as a favorite in Denver

The defense is working for the Broncos, but Teddy Bridgewater has to come up with some plays. Bridgewater has been consistent with 1,180 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception on 69.8% completions. You have to be thinking that’s crazy Bridgewater must convert some plays with those numbers.

Rather I should say, Bridgewater has to come through in the clutch with a big play or two. Consistency only goes so far, a game breaking pass to change the course of a game would make a world of difference for the Broncos. If the Raiders are as interested as they were last week, then Bridgewater probably comes up with multiple big plays.

The Raiders’ defense has been strong against the pass, though they’ve given up yards on the ground. Las Vegas is 25th in the league 134.4 yards allowed per game. Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams have combined to provide the Raiders with 118.6 rushing yards per game for 12th.

Most importantly, the thin air in Denver isn’t a place to go and play if full effort isn’t there. The extra kick has to be there in this environment, or players break down and get lethargic in the second-half. Against a physical defense like the Broncos, expect this trip to Denver to be too much for them to handle.


Raiders vs. Broncos Pick