Last week the Dallas Cowboys decided to play football at a professional level. They felt it was time to show up for newly appointed head coach Jason Garret. They decided that Wade Philips wasn’t worth their season, so now the Cowboys will be watching the Super Bowl from their homes instead of playing at Cowboys Stadium in February. A classless act by a classless bunch of players, but I digress. Detroit have lost their last 2 games by a combined 5 points. They’ve been up and down all year, great against the spread but not so great straight up. If the Cowboys lose at home to the Lions this week, who knows if Jason Garret will last the end of the season.
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Detroit has gone back to Shaun Hill at QB after Stafford re injured his shoulder two weeks ago against the Jets. Hill’s actually not a bad backup option. He can squeeze the ball into tight spaces and loves throwing it up for Calvin Johnson to go and get. Detroit’s receivers match up great against the Cowboys secondary. Calvin Johnson and Brandon Pettigrew, if used properly on Sunday, should have a very good day. The Cowboys DB’s can’t tackle and they’ve been pathetic at home this season.
The Cowboys win last week, although it came as a surprise to knock off the Giants in New York, was actually not that much of a shock. In their first meeting of the season they were leading 20-7, before New York strung together a few big plays which rattled Dallas. Teams with a new coach usually start strong and play above their potential for the first game, then come back to reality the next week, and keep in mind that Dallas have yet to win at home this year.
Lions vs. Cowboys Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Detroit Lions +6
@ Dallas Cowboys -6
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Lions vs. Cowboys Predictions for Week 11 Betting:
Spread Prediction (Top Play): The Lions are 0-24 in their last 24 road games, so the numbers certainly point to the Cowboys winning this game outright. But the points make it more difficult than that, with the Cowboys playing pretty terrible so far this year in Dallas. The 6.5 point spread indicates the odds makers believe it’ll be a high scoring game. They don’t anticipate many field goals, and with both teams virtually out of the playoff picture, they’ll be no holding back. The Lions match up well against Dallas and dome noise won’t be a factor. Detroit can take the Cowboys crowd out of it with one big play. But the way Dallas played last week is an indicator that this team is turning the corner, and there’s no better team to play against at home than the Lions. Detroit’s running game won’t be a factor with RB Jahvid Best still playing on turf toe. I like the Cowboys to keep it rolling this week with a 7 point victory.
Game Total Prediction: The Cowboys have been scoring points all year, but have also been giving them up. There defense ranks in the bottom 3 in points allowed, and the Lions have the offense to answer back. Dez Bryant has really excelled over the last few weeks, and John Kitna will be facing his old team. Dome game between two bad teams that can air it out, I like the Over in this one, and recent history does too. The Over is 5-0 in the Cowboys lat 5 as a home favorite.