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Lions Packers Spread Line and Prediction Week 4 NFL

The Detroit Lions will hit the road once again searching for an away game win for the first time in nearly three years. The last time the Honolulu blue and silver won away from Ford Field was October 28, 2007, when they finished their season sweep of the Chicago Bears with a 16-7 tally. The (0-3) Detroit Lions will look to curb this streak this Sunday afternoon when they travel to Lambeau Field to take on the shaken up (2-1) Green Bay Packers, kickoff slated for 1 PM EST. This storied rivalry has seen its share of grudge matches but their has not been a meaningful game in this relationship for some years now, the Packers own the all time series lead 88-64-7 (including 2 postseason wins). The Lions will need to get off to a fast start and hope that a short practice week for the Packers comes into effect for them to have any shot in upsetting.

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To say the Lions miss franchise QB Matthew Stafford is a substantial understatement. Backup QB Shaun Hill is just not the answer and is not getting the job done, three thrown interceptions last week in the Redzone will not book your ticket in any league. Unfortunately for the Lions, QB Shaun Hill will get his third start for the Lions on Sunday as Matthew Stafford is still a few weeks off with his throwing shoulder ailment. The Lions held there own in the initial half against the Vikings last week but totally collapsed in the second half, which resulted in the 24-10 loss they endured. The early season favorite for rookie of the year, RB Jahvid Best, injured his toe early in the first half and was limited to the sideline for most of the game, he is probable for this Sunday. The “so-called” revamped defence for the Lions has been glaringly absent as they rank 30th in total defense and dead last against the run. The Lions play a very aggressive and sound defensive attack for most of their games, but the problem for the Lions is that they give up too many big plays. The reason the Lions rank so low in virtually every defensive category this year is because when the Lions give up a big play it is HUGE, like an 80 yard running scamper or a 70 yard reception. Defensive coordinator Gunther Cunningham has made it quite clear through his media appearances that no defensive job is safe and that changes are going to be made and players will lose jobs if these performances continue to persist. The Lions will lean on a solid running effort from RB Jahvid Best and aggressively pursue QB Aaron Rodgers with their formidable defensive line in hopes of escaping Lambeau and the state of Wisconsin with a victory for the first time in a previous 19 failed attempts.

Miscues and penalties plagued the Packers on Monday night against the Bears, they set a franchise record with 18 infractions. A fumble by Green Bay receiver James Jones with just over two minutes to go in a tie game and then a pass interference penalty on rookie safety Morgan Burnett set up a last-second, game-winning field goal for the Chicago Bears on Monday night. QB Aaron Rodgers went 34-45 for 316 yards with a touchdown and a pick and also had a quarterback rating of 92.5. It was quite apparent on last Monday night that RB Ryan Grant will surely be missed this year and that they still do not have a sufficient answer for his absence. They gave the ball to second-string RB Brandon Jackson 7 times and he rushed for 12 yards, a 1.7 average just won’t cut it for a playoff-destined squad. After recording six sacks in Week 1 at Philadelphia, the most by any NFL team on opening weekend, the Packers have now followed that performance up with seven more sacks in the next two games. Pro Bowl LB AJ Hawk, LB Nick Barnett, and LB Clay Matthews make up one of the most fearsome line backing units in the entire league and they have been able to get the quarterback in each game thus far. The Packers will look to exert some free will against the Lions and keep pace with the current leaders of the NFC North division, the Chicago Bears.

Lions vs Packers Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Detroit Lions +14.5
@ Green Bay Packers -14.5

Game Total:

Over (-110)
45
Under (-110)

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Lions vs Packers Prediction for Week 4:

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – If not for three unfortunate miscues in the Redzone by QB Shaun Hill and a muffed punt return that was returned for a touchdown by the Vikings, the Lions were very dominant last week and it could have easily been an enjoyable ride home for Detroit. The Lions have covered the spread in 2 out of the 3 games they have played thus far and they are playing better, more sound football each week. Yes, the Lions’ road skid to Green Bay, which includes three defeats in Milwaukee and a playoff loss in 1994, has featured an average margin of defeat of more than 14 points, and Detroit lost 26-0 at Lambeau last Oct. 18, but this is a new Lions team with a new persona. Green Bay is 4-14 ATS following Monday night games since 1992 and are 12-22 ATS when coming off a loss to a division rival since 1992. To add insult to injury, the Packers running attack or threat is gone so the Lions defensive front will be able to focus solely on getting after QB Aaron Rodgers. I look for Green Bay to come out sluggish after a short week and stunning loss to Chicago, we will consider grabbing the points with the Lions in Lambeau.

Top Play Prediction = LIONS +14.5

Game Total Prediction – When the Lions offense is clicking they can score with the best of them. I believe QB Shaun Hill will bounce back after last weeks dismal performance and put forth a very solid effort, as well as RB Jahvid Best, who missed most of last weeks contest with a bruised toe. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing Green Bay. Also, all indications point to the Lions number two receiver, WR Nate Burleson, returning and with him in the lineup loosens up the coverage that is drawn to WR Calvin Johnson. There is no point discussing the intricacies of the Packers offense because they can flat out put up points in any contest they enter. The Packers have reached the OVER in two of the three games they have played thus far and will look to exert some frustration offensively after last weeks undisciplined and error filled affair. The Packers are 4th in the league in points scored per game with 26 and 12th in the league in total yards, going against a dismal Lions defensive unit I like the odds of many points. I would strongly recommend taking a look at the OVER in this old black and blue divisional affair.

Prediction = OVER 45 Total Points

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Spread Line and Predictions

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