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Lions vs. Bears Pick – NFL Week 4

If you fail once, twice, or three times, get up and try again right? The Chicago Bears have fallen on their face to open the season, losing through the first three weeks to open the year at 0-3. The Bears latest failure came last week in primetime on SNF in Texas, as they lost to the Cowboys, 31-17. Pretty shoddy Sunday Night Football matchup, but Chicago is a bigger market and it’s all about the money. The Bears get back to Solider Field this week for a NFC North battle against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are coming off an NFC North loss to the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau a week ago.

This looks like one of those trap games you hear about every week, and here, the Lions have to be careful not to fall into a Bear trap on Sunday afternoon. Just like that, the Lions and Bears could be tied with records of 1-3. Detroit were the beneficiaries of slicing through a banged up Indianapolis defense in Week 1. No, seriously, the Colts were down to 3rd stringers on defense in the second-half.

What it amounted to for the Lions was playing against a 3rd quarter preseason defense and Stafford and the offense took advantage. The bad news for them is that they aren’t going to be playing against a hospital ward every Sunday. The offense was fine last week, but it waited too long to get going. The Packers ultimately secured a 31-24 victory and sent the Lions to Chicago with a record of 1-2.

The Bears will be seeking their first win of the season today. Brian Hoyer was in the saddle a week ago, but the results were no different than Jay Cutler under center. Cutler sat out due to an injury to his right thumb. He is listed as doubtful to start against the Lions on Sunday. Hoyer’s performance against the Cowboys was pretty deceiving. How can you knock a guy who threw for 317 yards and 2 touchdowns?

Hoyer gets some credit for putting those numbers up, but he struggled to hit his receivers during big moments. He had a whopping 49 attempts on the night, completing 61.2% of his passes. If anything, Hoyer was a great find for anybody who took a cheap option on him in DFS. He should be in for another solid performance against the Detroit secondary, but he’ll need to do it when it matters if the Bears want to win.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Odds:

Spread:
Lions +3(-115)
vs. Bears -3(-105)

Total:
Over 48(-110)
Under 48(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Lions vs. Bears Pick:

Matthew Stafford is finding out what life is like without Calvin Johnson. Offensive coordinator, Jim Bob Cooter, has spread the ball around to an array of targets on the field. Despite no Johnson, there is still some talent on the field. However, their talent level hit a snag with the injury to running back Ameer Abdullah. Abdullah is a dynamic player, but his season was cut short in 2016. The injury changes everything up for the Lions, who had a nice 1-2 punch with him and Theo Riddick. Riddick is the perfect 3-down back, who can come in and spill a starter. But Riddick is not a guy who can carry a load for an offense. The predicament has forced the Lions into changing things up a bit.

The Lions predictably got little production out of the running game last week, with their leading rusher, Dwayne Washington, rushing for only 39 yards. Stafford was second on the team in rushing with 11 yards. Stafford had 41 attempts last week, and connected on 28 of them for 385 yards and 3 touchdowns. Between Stafford and Hoyer in Week 3, they threw the football a total of 90 times. That is something you come to see in college football, not in the NFL.

The Lions rank 4th in the NFL in passing yards per game with 312.7 yards. They have also scored 27 points per game through the first three weeks. However, their defense has allowed 28.3 points per game. Aaron Rodgers was able to connect for 4 touchdowns last week against the Lions, as he made Packers’ fans forget about the Vikings game a week before. With neither team possessing a potent rushing attack, Stafford and Hoyer are going to be taking their game to the air pretty often this afternoon.

The total opened up at 46 and it went to 48 for good reason. There should be plenty of opportunities for points to be put on the board. The spread is awfully trappy looking. It seems like the books are begging people to take action on the Lions. I’m going to avoid that and make a play on the OVER instead.

PICK: OVER 48 POINTS (-110)