Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills – NFL Week 12

LA Chargers (3-7) at Bills (7-3)


The Chargers boast a 24-10-2 record against the Bills as they have won four in a row, going back to 2011. Over that four-game streak, the Chargers have picked off 10 Bills passes. The Bolts are 11-5-1 in Buffalo during the regular season, In the last meeting in 2018, Philip Rivers threw three touchdown passes in leading the Chargers to a 31-20 win. Josh Allen also had a late touchdown pass for the Bills as he threw for 245 yards but was sacked five times. The Chargers have won six of the last seven meetings.


Los Angeles ended a three-game losing streak last week with a 34-28 win over the winless Jets. The loss to the Cardinals two weeks ago ended a three-game Bills winning streak. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has five games with 300-plus yards and that is tied for second in NFL history for a rookie. Bills wide receiver John Brown looks for his third game in a row with six or more catches and 70 or more yards.

Vs. The Spread:

The Bills are an even 5-5 ATS while the Chargers check in a 4-5-1.  The Chargers have gone OVER in the their last seven games and eight of the Chargers’ last nine road games have gone OVER. The total has also gone OVER in eight of Buffalo’s last 10 games while we stay with the OVER as four of the last five Bills’ home games have gone past the number.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Los Angeles Chargers +5½ (-110) +200 O 52½ (-110)
Buffalo Bills -5½ (-110) -240 U 52½ (-110)

Last week:

Buffalo enjoyed a bye week after the “Hail Murray” in Arizona when DeAndre Hopkins came up with a pass form Kyler Murray in the middle of three Bills defenders for a touchdown with two seconds remaining. The Cardinals stunned the Bills, 32-30.

Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen became the fastest player in NFL history to reach 600 receptions behind a team-record 16 catches in a game as LA outlasted the Jets, 34-28. Justin Herbert completed 37 of 49 passes for 366 yards and three touchdowns as he used eight different receivers.

When the Chargers Have the Ball:

Los Angeles Chargers LogoHerbert has put up incredible numbers all season and his effort vs. the Jets netted him the NFL’s Player of the Week Now, comes the Bills who have had some problems against the pass as this sets up well for Allen, who leads the Chargers with 81 catches for 835 yards. Mike Williams is 6-4, 218-lb. wide out who doesn’t get enough ink with his ability to play make with his size and physicality.

Josh Norman and Tre’Davious White will assume the matchups on the corners, but Jordan Poyer at safety is having a big year as he leads all safeties with 80 tackles. The Bills get to the quarterback by committee as linebacker A.J. Klein has 3.5 of the team’s 27 sacks. Herbert has been dropped 19 times.

When the Bills Have the Ball:

Buffalo Bills LogoIt has been a stellar year for Josh Allen as he has completed 63 of 87 passes for 679 yards and five touchdowns in his last two games. The Buffalo pass offense is fourth in the league at 278 yards per game. Stefon Diggs is having a Pro Bowl season with 15 receptions for 20 yards or over. The Chargers only have five interceptions although they limit opponents’ big plays.

However, it’s a stingy Chargers defense that allows only 344 yards per game, 11th in the NFL. Running back Devin Singletary is a possibility for Buffalo as the Chargers are a bit easier to run against. He should able to play after struggling with injuries in the past two games. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are strong in the LA pass rush as well as the run stop.

Winner: Buffalo Bills (-5½) 35, LA Chargers 27

Over-Under: OVER 52½

The Bets
Buffalo Bills (-5½)
O 52½
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.