Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs – NFL Week 17 Pick

Sifting through the Week 17 injury news is key before delving into the betting markets, and that’s especially true before Kansas City’s final regular season tune-up this Sunday.

The Chiefs enter the final week with a stellar 14-1 record, and have already clinched the top-seed in the entire AFC. As a result, it’s heavily believed that Kansas City coach Andy Reid is going to give many of his starters the full game off on Sunday. Despite the fact that the game is at home, and the Chiefs do have paying fans attending – the rest and time off for roughly two weeks, should go a long way in ensuring the Chiefs are primed and ready for another Super Bowl run.

The visiting Chargers will not have the same rest concerns, though they’ve been badly bitten by the injury bug for much of this campaign. They’ve lost key personnel across the field, and none of them are slated to make a return this week vs. Kansas City. It has been a difficult season for the L.A. Chargers, as mistakes in crucial times and odd coaching decisions, have resulted in this being yet another lost season for the club. And though Justin Herbert has proven to be the real deal, a lot more work remains if this team seeks the post-season next year.

Despite this not being the biggest or best matchup in terms of playoff implications, good betting value still does exist in this Chiefs/Chargers showdown. For more insight, as well as our betting prediction for this Week 17 match-up, continue reading beneath the posted odds. Enjoy the game, folks!

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers -4.5 (-110)
@ Kansas City Chiefs +4.5 (-110)

Over 43 (-110)
Under 43 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick:

While this is admittedly a tough game to project with all of the starters sitting out for Kansas City, there could still prove to be value here in Week 17.

As of now, with the Chiefs having locked up the AFC West and the conference, as well as the #1 seed throughout the playoffs, coach Andy Reid is going to rest many, if not all of his starters. That explains the line, and why L.A. enters this game favoured as the road side.

That said, the Chargers too are without many key pieces. Basically anyone within the Chargers’ camp that is a little banged-up, is unlikely to go. Keenan Allen, Joey Bosa, Bryan Bulaga, and Casey Heyward are all expected to begin their off-season a week early, which does complicate matters a bit for us.

The one constant in this matchup, is the play of Chargers’ rookie Justin Herbert. The big favourite for the Rookie of the Year award has shown why this season, turning in a wildly impressive campaign despite the drama and incompetence from his coaching staff. Herbert makes plays, and rarely turns in a bad outing. With Mahomes on the sidelines watching him, you can bet the former Oregon product will be eager to put on a show.

Herbert has shredded first-team defenses all season long, and now that he gets to face a reserve team, his effectiveness and ability should only be magnified. Though Keenan Allen is slated to be out, Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams should both help in the passing game, and keep those chains moving for the Chargers.

Meanwhile for Kansas City, expect them to run the ball frequently and look for this game to be over and done with as quick as possible, regardless of the outcome or situation. Chad Henne will make his first start at quarterback since the year 2014, and the veteran play-caller will quite likely show some big signs of rust. Despite those sitting out, the Chargers still have some hungry young players that will be keen to end their season with a bang, and they should be able to take advantage of a second-string offensive line.

Week 17 is a funny one, and this matchup is no different. Don’t expect to see any of Kansas City’s regulars, and while the Chargers are depleted themselves, look for Justin Herbert and his offense to show enough to make this a routine victory for the emerging talent. This will be yet another feather in the cap of an elite rookie season from Herbert, and expect the youngster to put on a show here in Week 17.

My Pick
Chargers -4.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.