Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – NFL Week 11

Rams (6-3) at Buccaneers (7-3)

Series

The Rams carry a 16-9 advantage into Monday night’s meeting with the Buccaneers, but Tampa Bay applied a 55-40 spanking on the Rams last season at Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles. Jared Goff threw for 517 yards, but the Bucs picked him off three times. Jameis Winston had a great day with 385 yards and four touchdowns. In that game, the Buccaneers ended a 5-game Rams winning streak that dated back to 2010. The two teams have met twice in the NFC championship game and the Rams have won both as they took an 11-6 decision in 2000 and a 9-0 win in 1979.

Streaks

Los Angeles has won four out of their last seven and two out of three. The Rams haven’t given up over 17 points in their last six games. Tampa Bay has won four out of five as three of those were by 25 points or more. Rams defensive lineman Aaron Donald has seven sacks and four forced fumbles in his last four road games.

Vs. The Spread

The Rams are 5-4 ATS this season while Tampa Bay is at an even 5-5. The total has gone UNDER in all six of the Rams last six games. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with Tampa Bay and are 2-5 SU in their last seven road games.

The Buccaneers have seen the total go OVER in 14 of their last 20 games while they are 5-10 in their last 15 games against NFC opponents.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Rams +4 (-105) +175 O 48 (-110)
Buccaneers -4 (-115) -205 U 48 (-110)

Last week

Los Angeles had another stellar defensive effort in turning Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson over three time in the Rams’ 23-16 win. Jared Goff completed 27-of-37 passes for 302 yards.

Tampa Bay blew past the Carolina Panthers, 46-23, in Charlotte as Ronald Jones ran for 192 yards on 21 carries, including a 98-yard bolt that put Tampa Bay in the lead for good. The Buccaneers scored on nine consecutive drives after punting on their first.

When Los Angeles Has the Ball

Los Angeles Rams LogoDarrell Henderson, Jr., and Malcolm Brown give Sean McVay a quality duo at running back. Their 193 combined rushing attempts equate for almost one-third of the Rams’ total plays. Goff has done a great job managing this offense in completing 66.7 percent of his passes with 13 touchdown tosses and six interceptions.

The frenetic energy provided by the Buccaneers defensive backs will be a key against a talented Rams wide out corp of Cooper Kupp, Josh Reynolds, and Robert Woods. Carlton Davis is the leader of the pack at corner with 14 deflections and four interceptions. Linebackers Devin White and Lavonte David provide a nice matchup for Henderson and Brown. The Bucs have accrued 32 sacks – Jason Pierre-Paul leads with seven – so the loss of Andrew Whitworth at tackle will be of note as backup Joe Noteboom get trial by fire. Woods has six touchdowns in his last five games on the road.

When Tampa Bay Has the Ball

Tampa Bay Buccaneers LogoThe Rams’ defense has been as solid on a consistent basis as any in giving up only 96 yards rushing per game. As running back Ronald Jones has had a break out season in Tampa, he punctuated that with last week’s heroics, the Rams give him potentially his toughest test of the season as linebacker Micah Kizer has been tough in the run-stop in leading LA with 71 stops.

Tom Brady is near perfect against anyone not named the New Orleans Saints. He has 21 touchdowns and only two interceptions against the rest of his schedule. Brady will be under duress most of the evening with a Rams pass rush that has tallied 31 total sacks. He has eight touchdowns and two interceptions in four career regular season games vs. the Rams. Defensive tackles Michael Blockers and Aaron Donald have seven and nine each while Brady has been dropped 14 times. Chris Godwin had 12 catches for 172 yards and two scores in last season’s meeting.

NFL Betting Predictions

Winner: Tampa Bay (-4) 24, Los Angeles 19
Over-Under: Take Under 48

The Bets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4
-115
Under 48
-110
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.