Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Bets – NFL Week 16 Props

Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Bets – NFL Week 16 Props

Monday Night Football is another Week 16 heavily impacted by Covid. The New Orleans Saints opened as a 3-point favorite, and now they’re 3-point underdogs.

The Saints are desperate enough to call Drew Brees to come back and play quarterback. He kindly rejected the offer and appears happy on television.

Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill are unavailable, so the Saints are going down the line to rookie Ian Book. If you follow college football, you probably recognize the name.

Book started at Notre Dame for three years and did well, but he never gave off franchise quarterback vibes. He has a big chance to prove himself in primetime on Monday night.

The Saints do have Alvin Kamara in the backfield, so the centerpiece of their offense is present. Miami will beg Book into passing attempts as they stack the box.

Tua Tagovailoa is also looking to show something, though there’s much more pressure on Tua to show that he deserved to be selected by the Dolphins with a top-5 selection.

I haven’t hated what I’ve seen from Tua this season. That said, the Dolphins passed on Justin Herbert for Tua. They will always be compared and Tua isn’t putting up the same numbers, at least not yet. Tua may very well end up being the better quarterback at the end of their careers.

After losing seven straight games and bouncing back, the Dolphins are in the playoff race at 7-7. They opened with a big 17-16 win over the New England Patriots, and then seven dropped in a row.

Miami is hot, but will they overlook Book and the Saints on the road? We’re looking at props, so I’m not going to attempt to answer that question.

Head below for our best Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints prop bets for December 27, 2021.

Ian Book Total Rushing Yards

Ian Book is playing for a spot on the roster next season. Trevor Siemian is on a one-year contract, and Book has much more upset than the older Siemian.

This looks like a spot for Book to set up a quarterback battle in training camp for the reserve role in 2022. Book played well in his final year at Notre Dame, though he’ll see his toughest and first assignment in the NFL tonight.

Book passed for 34 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in his final collegiate seasons on 60.2% completions, and then 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 64.6% completions in 2020.

He could run and Notre Dame had QB options for him. This isn’t Hill, but the Saints can plug in his offense and let Book run it to an extent.

Book gained 546 yards and 4 touchdowns on 4.9 yards per carry in 2019. In the Covid season in the ACC, Book had 485 yards and 9 touchdowns on 4.2 yards per carry.

Even if Book doesn’t hear his number on an option, he’s likely going to take off if nothing is open downfield. Young quarterbacks that can run tend to rely on their legs, maybe too much in some instances.

Ian Book Rushing Yards Prop
OVER 20.5

Mark Ingram Total Receiving Yards

The Saints are going to keep it easy on Ian Book tonight. Simplify the playbook so Book doesn’t get into trouble.

That would be a good way to kill his confidence in his first NFL start. Dumping the ball off to Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram out of the backfield should be a familiar play tonight.

Kamara and Ingram suiting up on Monday night is the best news for the Saints’ offense. I don’t want to jinx the Saints. At least as of right now, they are.

Ingram has been helpful through the air and on the ground. He’s gained 537 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 162 yards on 27 receptions.

In five of Ingram’s last seven outings, he has caught at least 21 yards. He wasn’t utilized much as a pass-catcher with the Texans but has with the Saints.

Ingram doesn’t have to catch and run for a mile to win this prop. At 9.5 receiving yards, I’m interested in the OVER.

Mark Ingram Receiving Yards Prop
OVER 9.5

Jaylen Waddle Total Receiving Yards

Tua Tagovailoa and Jaylen Waddle liked playing with each other at Alabama, and it has carried over to the NFL. Waddle has provided Tua with a nice option opposite DeVante Parker.

Only a rookie, Waddle has 849 yards 4 touchdowns on 9.9 yards per reception. He’s put together his best work in the Dolphins’ last two outings.

Waddle recorded a career-high 137 yards and a touchdown on 15.2 yards per reception versus the Carolina Panthers.

He followed up with what would have been a career-high, without the 137 yards, against the Giants with 90 yards on 9 receptions.

Waddle has averaged 87.2 receiving yards per game over his last four games. Expect Waddle to see plenty more targets from Tua on Monday night.

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop
OVER 65.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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