New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Pick – NFL Week 8

Following an easy Thursday Night winner with the Falcons to kick off Week 8, we’re back at it for a busy Sunday slate of action.

In the early window, one of the most fascinating encounters has to be the New England Patriots heading to Orchard Park, to take on the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills.

Of course this has been New England’s division for an entire generation, though without Tom Brady this Patriots’ dynasty seems on the verge of collapse. New England enters Week 8 in a crucial moment, and a win has become a necessity if they want to qualify for the post-season. Cam Newton was benched last week vs. San Francisco, and the veteran QB simply needs to be more dynamic and reliable if the Pats are to have any shot this season.

For the Bills, it really is too bad there isn’t a sea of blue along with the Bills Mafia for Sunday’s crucial encounter. Buffalo does hold one of the best home-field advantages in all of the NFL, and they’d only add to the atmosphere for what could well be a changing of the guard in the AFC East.

It has been a long-time since the Patriots weren’t steamrolling their AFC East divisional foes with regularity, but years of frustration could get unleashed by the Bills this Sunday afternoon. It promises to be one of the most intriguing encounters of Week 8 and we’ve got you covered right here at The Sports Geek. Keep reading beneath the posted odds for a full breakdown and betting analysis as New England and Buffalo battle for AFC East supremacy.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds:

New England Patriots +4.5 (-110)
@ Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)

Over 40.5 (-110)
Under 40.5 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Pick:

Like every other season in recent memory, it would seem once again like Cam Newton is playing through a nagging injury. His shoulder seems to be the issue this time around, as his arm strength and accuracy were huge issues last week vs. the Niners. Passes were thrown into the ground or behind receivers, and the Bills boast a talented secondary that have the ability to pick these throws off.

It also doesn’t help that New England has zero run game or pass-catchers they can rely on. It is remarkable that for such a smart organization, their stunning lack of gamebreakers has yet to be addressed. Expect a lot of instances where Newton might have time in the pocket, but nobody can get open downfield. Making matters worse for Newton is that his patented scrambles won’t even be a possibility this week with Matt Milano back for Buffalo. The talented linebacker will play a key role in keeping Newton bottled up.

While the Pats will be in tough to move the chains, Buffalo should be able to find a bit more success. Josh Allen has regressed a bit in recent outings, but can bounce back against New England’s stop unit. It’s believed Stephon Gilmore will be out for the Pats, so Stefon Diggs and John Brown could find some space downfield.

Buffalo could and likely should also turn to the run game. While neither Devin Singletary or Zack Moss inspire much confidence, Allen himself is an elite scrambler and can move the chains with his own legs. New England was terrible in this regard last week vs. San Francisco, and space should be there with the ground attack.

With the Bills healthier and the Patriots struggling and battling key injuries, it seems like now is the time for Buffalo to get over that mental hurdle and finally beat New England. They’ve been close for years, and without Gilmore or Edelman, the Pats are in store for yet another humbling experience. Look for Buffalo to rout the Pats on Sunday and not let-up in the process.

My Pick
Bills -4.5
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Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.