New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Pick – NFL Week 9

The New England Patriots and New York Jets are scheduled to meet at the Meadowlands for the Week 9 edition of Monday Night Football. This typically would have been a textbook win for the Patriots. A blowout with no chance of victory for the Jets, especially the state of this team with Adam Gase running the ship. However, can we safely say that the Patriots are a lock to win this game? I don’t really think so.

The Patriots are trying to find their way in the AFC East and are no longer the team to beat. You can put the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills ahead of them. It’s not reasonable to have the Patriots as a top team with this struggling offense. With no weapons for Cam Newton, their offense becomes a one-dimensional unit.

An option offense on the ground might work for some teams in college, but it’s not going to cut it in the NFL. Hand the ball off, let Cam run with it and try to break one is essentially the Patriots’ offense in 2020. The Patriots were expecting a breakout campaign from N’Keal Harry, but he’s still struggling to get open in his second season. Don’t remind Patriots’ fans that they could have had DK Metcalf.

As far as tonight is concerned, talking about Harry is a moot point because he will not be playing on Monday night. Along with failing to get open, Harry has not been able to stay healthy. The best weapon in the Patriots’ offense right now is Julian Edelman. For a wide receiver that plays as physically as he does, and continues to get older, he’s less of an asset for the Patriots.

It was clear on Tom Brady’s face last season that he was frustrated with the lack of weapons. Get worse at quarterback by replacing Brady with Newton and this is what you have. And I do believe if Newton had some receivers he’d be putting up much better numbers, but Brady is the best in the business at making receivers better than they truly are.

The Patriots are dealing with a slew of injuries, but the Jets have Sam Darnold listed as doubtful. That means we could have an uninterested Joe Flacco filling in for Darnold again. What kind of motivation does Flacco have anymore? It’s hard to fathom that he cares, and is just collecting some extra money to put in his bank account. Head below for our free New England Patriots vs. New York Jets pick for November 9, 2020.

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Week 9 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Patriots -10 (-103)
  • Jets +10 (-117)
Moneyline:

  • Patriots -450
  • Jets +360
Total:

  • Over 41.5 (-110)
  • Under 41.5 (-110)

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Patriots vs. Jets Prediction:

Flacco has absolutely nothing left to prove in his career. He has his Super Bowl and sort of checked out shortly after that. Flacco is quite content sitting on the sideline holding a clipboard and collecting his weekly game checks from the Jets. With Sam Darnold injured throughout the year, Flacco has had to step up and fill in for Darnold a few games this season.

Flacco has appeared in three games and hasn’t done anything special. He’s thrown for 397 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception on 51.9% completions. The problem for Flacco, other than him being at the end of his career soon, is that the Jets have a shaky offensive line.

Darnold at least is mobile in a sense. If things break down around him, Darnold has the legs to move around to try to find something, but with Flacco, he’s a statue on the field. Especially at this point in his career, Flacco doesn’t have much left in his legs to get out of pressure. The Jets’ offense is dead last in the league with 259 yards per game. There are many teams that are passing for more than that on average, let alone total yardage. They’ve also recorded only 11.8 points per game.

The Patriots’ offense is not good, but if there’s anything they can still do, it’s play defense. On an elite level? Not close, but Bill Belichick is way too smart to allow this Jets’ offense led by Flacco to do much damage. The Patriots are conceding a total of 23.9 points per game. They held a good Bills’ offense to 24 points in a 24-21 game last week. Expect the Patriots to hold Flacco and the Jets’ offense in check on Monday night.

Whether the Patriots’ offense can take advantage of short field position is questionable, though. Cam could clearly be playing better. If he protects the football last week, the Patriots might beat the Bills. However, receivers need to help him out soon. Nobody is getting separation in the secondary, so he is having to try to make plays that aren’t there.

That turns into errors as pressure mounts on Newton. N’Keal Harry and running back J.J. Taylor have both been ruled out for tonight. Tight end Ryan Izzo and running back Damien Harris are also questionable. Their best offensive lineman, Isaiah Wynn, is questionable to play with an ankle injury. To add insult to injury, kicker Nick Folk may not be able to play. I think this is shaping up to be an ugly Monday nighter between the Patriots and Jets. I’d lean towards the UNDER if you’re looking for a bet.

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The Bet
UNDER 41.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.