New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prop Picks – NFL Week 14

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prop Picks – NFL Week 14

The New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles meet in what was intended to be a marquee late afternoon window game when the schedule was made. One team can be considered marquee, but the other most certainly cannot. Despite winning the Super Bowl in 2018, the Eagles have not been able to carry that success over into the future.

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Doug Pederson was viewed as a smart guy then, but he’s on the chopping block in Philadelphia. Eagles’ fans don’t have any patience, and this team is in the gutter right now. The Eagles go into Sunday with a record of 3-8-1 with a four-game losing streak going into Week 14. Bizarrely enough, the Eagles are not out of the playoff picture in the NFC East.

They are alive along with the rest of this underachieving division. The Giants and Washington are currently tied with a record of 5-7. That’s good for first in the NFC East. If this was college football and I was on a committee of ranking the top team, I’d have Washington at the top. Their defense is actually quite good, and Alex Smith makes the offense much better. Certainly not elite, but solid enough to put Washington in front of the rest of this lackluster division. That’s the way I see it anyway.

Pederson has a grace period built in because of the Super Bowl win over the New England Patriots. Like I said, though, Eagles’ fans aren’t patient and aren’t going to take much more if things don’t turn around. Pederson and the Eagles face a daunting challenge against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon. It’s a tall order to end this four-game losing skid, but they’ll be at home at Lincoln Financial Field at least.

The Saints are thinking Super Bowl in February. They go into Philadelphia with a record of 10-2 following a 21-6 win over the Atlanta Falcons last week. The Saints are a well-rounded team, with their defense taking a front seat recently. They’ve conceded only 28 points over the last three games. The last team to beat the Saints for more than 20 points was the Bears in a 26-23 overtime win for the Saints on November 1. The stage is all yours Jalen Hurts. Head below for our free Saints vs. Eagles props.

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards

Over 39.5
Under 39.5

Jalen Hurts will get the starting nod at quarterback this week for the Eagles. He took over for a struggling Carson Wentz last week against the Green Bay Packers. Wentz left the game with 79 yards on 6 for 15 passing. He’s passed for a total of 16 touchdowns and 15 interceptions on 57.44% passing. Wentz seems like a nice guy and all, but this isn’t working in Philadelphia. Since Nick Foles led the Eagles to a Super Bowl, Wentz just hasn’t seemed like the same guy with a lot of confidence on the field.

The rookie out of Oklahoma will get a chance as the starting quarterback for the Eagles. Hurts took over for Wentz last week and did fine. He passed for 109 yards with a touchdown and interception. Hurts also rushed for 29 yards on five attempts for 5.8 yards per carry. With a full game on Sunday, expect those numbers to go up for Hurts. The Saints are going to keep Hurts guessing when he drops back to pass.

This is a tough matchup against a defense that has allowed only 212.8 yards per game. Young quarterbacks that can run tend to take off even when they don’t have to. Developing the ability to sit in the pocket and feel comfortable can take some time. And even then, the Eagles will have some QB option plays installed for Hurts on Sunday. Scrambling and designed runs and designed runs should give Hurts plenty of opportunities to go OVER this prop.

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OVER 39.5

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards

Over 57.5
Under 57.5

Drew Brees remains on the IR as gametime approaches against the Eagles in Philadelphia. His status for the Eagles was up in the air, but it’s increasingly likely that Brees will not play on Sunday. Taysom Hill has been serviceable enough that it would be a disservice to the Saints if they play Brees too early. The playoffs are approaching and the Saints are a 10-2 team going into Philadelphia. It’s best to err on the side of caution. The focal point of the offense will work around Hill and Kamara.

Kamara has gained 673 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns and 4.7 yards per carry in 2020. He ran for 4.7 yards per carry last season, and 4.6 yards per carry in 2018, so Kamara has been consistent in that regard. The Eagles have been solid against the pass, with 217.2 yards conceded per game for seventh in the league. However, they’ve been less effective against the run in 2020. The Eagles have allowed an average of 129.9 rushing yards a game, which puts them near the back of the league. Expect a heavy dose of Kamara out of the backfield.

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OVER 57.5

Zach Ertz Receptions

Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Zach Ertz has not had an ideal season. He’s been dealing with an injury throughout the season and has been absent for most of the year. Ertz has appeared in just seven games this season. Through seven games, Ertz has recorded 209 yards and 26 receptions. He hasn’t been playing at 100% in most of those games as well, so that’s hurt his production. That said, Ertz has caught at least 3 receptions in five of seven games this season.

He looked good against the Raven two weeks ago for 4 receptions on 33 yards. With a young quarterback getting the call for the Eagles, expect Hurts to target short targets underneath against a talented Saints’ defense. Ertz and Dallas Goedert are likely to both see plenty of targets on Sunday. Ertz needs just 3 receptions to get OVER this prop against the Saints. He should be able to get there.

The Bet
OVER 2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.