New Orleans Saints vs. Washington Football Team Pick – NFL Week 5

The New Orleans Saints and Washington Football Team have a Week 5 matchup at FedExField. The Saints are going on the road with a record of 2-2 after a tough blown game against the New York Giants at home. They were up 11 points in the 4th quarter, but allowed the Giants to get back into the game and force overtime.

The Saints were not able to get it together in overtime either, as Saquon Barkley and the Giants struck with 6 points to end the game. That’s a hard loss for the Saints.

A record of 3-1 looks much better than .500. It’s been a hot and cold season for the Saints so far. It’s hard to really say what they are, but I think we’re getting an idea at least.

Through four weeks, the Saints have beaten the Packers, 38-3, and Patriots, 28-13. Two impressive wins, especially the opener against the Packers in Jacksonville. That was complete domination on both sides of the ball with the Saints the aggressors on offense and defense.

Then going on the road to Gillette Stadium two weeks ago for a 23-13 win wasn’t easy. New England isn’t what they used to be, but they’re still a tough out on the road.

On the other side of the coin, you find the bad Saints. They have a 26-7 loss against the Carolina Panthers, and most recently the loss in overtime at home against the Giants. Jameis Winston was fine with 226 yards and 1 touchdown last week.

Winston has been fine all season, and his turnover problems have not been as much of a problem as people believed. He has passed for 613 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 64% completions. Good work from Winston who has not been a liability like has been the case for much of his career.

It keeps when there’s a player like Alvin Kamara in the backfield as the ultimate safety valve. Kamara hasn’t really excelled this season as a runner, though. He’s run for 297 yards on 3.8 yards per carry with no touchdowns. As a receiver, Kamara has 10 receptions for 62 yards and 2 scores.

The Saints have to be careful that they don’t overwork Kamara. He’s always been a workhorse, but 26 and 24 carries, along with his assignment as a pass catcher, is a lot even for him. Washington has a defense that should be able to limit Kamara from going wild.

The Football Team enter with a record of 2-2 as well, with wins over the Giants, 30-29, and Falcons, 34-20. Taylor Heinicke is coming off a big performance in a game where the defense had a lackluster day. Heinicke passed for 290 yards with 3 touchdowns, as he found Terry McLaurin for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

For all of the accolades their defense receives, it’s been the offense that has stepped up for Washington in 2021. Heinicke has proven that he deserves to be the QB1 even with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting the year ahead of him on the depth chart. Head below for our free Saints vs. Washington pick on October 10, 2021.

New Orleans Saints vs. Washington Football Team Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Saints -2.5 (-110) -135 Over 43.5 (-110)
Washington +2.5 (-110) +115 Under 43.5 (-110)
Team Data Saints Washington
Overall Record 2-2 2-2
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-3-0
Away/Home Record 1-1 0-2
ATS Away/Home 1-1-0 0-2-0
Points Per Game 30 17
Points Against Per Game 23.5 25.3
Passing Yards Per Game 144 238.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 132.8 103.3

Saints vs. Washington Prediction:

Sean Payton is making things easy on Jameis Winston this season. Winston deserves credit for what he’s accomplished this year, of course. But he did go to the perfect situation with the Saints in New Orleans. He has an elite running back on his side and a team that isn’t going to allow him to fire away into bad coverage.

The Saints are 31st in the NFL with 144 passing yards per game. He was asked to do too much with the Buccaneers, hence leading the NFL in passing while leading in interceptions. Winston doesn’t have to do everything in New Orleans when he has a running mate like Kamara. Washington has been uncharacteristically bad against the pass this season.

They’ve allowed 299 passing yards for 28th in the NFL. Overall, Washington are 29th in the league with 417.5 yards allowed per game. That’s not what anyone was expecting, but I will say that their 43-21 loss against Buffalo skews their numbers. They are a better unit than what we’ve seen so far. It’s been a disappointing start, but they’re always capable of shutting a team down.

Washington contained a quality Chargers team to just 20 points in Week 1. That’s what we knew best about Washington last year. Against a hit and miss Saints’ offense, 28th in the league with 276.8 yards per game, this could be a good spot for them to get into form at home. I think the defense is better than we’ve watched, but is Taylor Heinicke as good as advertised this season?


New Orleans Saints vs. Washington Football Team Betting Trends:

Saints

  • 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games as a favorite
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after failing to cover the spread
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games versus the NFC
  • 4-10 ATS in their previous 14 games in Week 5

Washington

  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games after a win
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games in October
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games in the NFC South
  • OVER is 6-0 in their previous six games

Heinicke goes into Week 5 with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 69.5% completions. He’s been steady and has been responsible for getting Washington into the winner’s circle last week against the Falcons.

When you have the most underrated receiver in the NFL it can be easier. Terry McLaurin has hauled in 354 yards and 3 touchdowns through four games. He’s off to the best start of his career, and will break his 1,118 yards from last year barring an injury. McLaurin wouldn’t need the extra game to do it either.

The Saints’ defense has been beatable through the air. They’ve looked vulnerable with 283.3 yards allowed per game for 26th in the league. Defensively they’ve been stout on the ground, though the secondary has been spotty. Expect a tight game, with the home dog likely finding a way in the 4th quarter.

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Saints vs. Washington Pick
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL +2.5