New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Pick – NFL Week 13

The New York Giants and Miami Dolphins meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Florida on Sunday afternoon. The Giants and Dolphins will attempt to keep the momentum going after both had success last week.

The Giants are coming off an impressive defensive display with a 13-7 win over the Philadelphia Eagles at the Meadowlands in Week 12. Philadelphia did everything in their power not to win that game.

Jalen Hurts, literally, threw the game away right to the Giants. He had numerous opportunities to put the Eagles up, and even pull away in that one.

An interception deep in Giants’ territory at the end of the first-half kind of spelled out how the second-half would go. Hurts passes for 3 interceptions with no touchdowns. He connected for just 129 yards and a 45.2% pass completion.

I will give the Giants’ defense credit, but it was another lousy outing for the Giants’ offense. They could have buried the Eagles after Hurts gave them the game, but Saquon Barkley was ordinary again.

Barkley ran for 40 yards on 13 attempts for 3.1 yards per carry. Daniel Jones was the ultimate game-manager with 202 yards and a touchdown. That’s all they needed with Hurts a turnover machine.

The Giants were coming off a 30-10 loss in a humiliating fashion to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a week earlier in primetime. Jones was miserable. Against a feisty Miami defense, he will have to be more than a game-manager this week.

Miami is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, as they carry a four-game winning streak into Sunday. The Dolphins are quietly up to 5-7 on the season after an ugly start. They aren’t winning the AFC East, but maybe sneak in for a wildcard.

It’s a wide open playoff race, so you can’t count them out just yet. I don’t have the same confidence in the 4-7 Giants, though. Head below for our free Giants vs. Dolphins pick on December 5, 2021.

New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
NY Giants +6 (-106) +220 Over 39 (-110)
Miami Dolphins -6 (-114) -260 Under 39 (-110)
Team Data NY Giants Miami Dolphins
Overall Record 4-7 5-7
ATS Record 6-5-0 6-5-1
Away/Home Record 1-4-0 3-3-0
ATS Away/Home 3-2-0 3-3-0
Points Per Game 18.4 19.5
Points Against Per Game 23.0 23.3
Passing Yards Per Game 266.6 230.7
Rushing Yards Per Game 90.8 80.2

Giants vs. Dolphins Prediction:

Daniel Jones is going to have to be careful in this one, or Mike Glennon, but they will also going to have to make some plays. If the Giants are too conservative, the Dolphins’ defense will grind away for a win.

Jones or Glennon will have to be aggressive at times in this one, but no one has to be confident with him attacking an improving Miami secondary. That goes for head coach Joe Judge as well.

He’s in a tough spot in this one. The Dolphins’ defense has adjusted well after getting gouged early on. Brian Flores has been doing a nice job turning this unit around.

They picked off Cam Newton twice and P.J. Walker once in their 33-10 win over the Panthers last week. After allowing 26 points in a 26-11 loss to the Buffalo Bills, the Dolphins have given up an impressive 11.5 points against per game.

That includes holding the Ravens’ offense to 10 points in a 22-10 win on November 11. Lamar Jackson passed for 238 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception, and he was bottled up for just 39 rushing yards.

New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • 21-7 ATS in their previous 28 games on the road
  • 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games after a covering the spread
  • 1-7 ATS in their previous eight games after allowing less than 15 points
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous four games in December


  • 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • 9-1 ATS in their previous ten games at Hard Rock Stadium versus a team with a losing record
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games as a favorite at Hard Rock Stadium
  • 12-4 ATS in their previous 16 games at Hard Rock Stadium
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games after a win by more than 14 points

Jones has passed for 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 62.8% completions. He has been less than on point for the Giants. This is a quarterback that needs Saquon Barkley to carry the load, and then things might open up for Jones.

Barkley has gained just 260 yards and 2 touchdowns on 3.6 yards per carry. The offensive line has to be better, but Barkley has to run harder as well. His ankle appears to be bothering him, and he doesn’t look like a guy that’s going to go all out for this losing team.

The Giants are 26th in the NFL with 90.8 rushing yards per game. They aren’t going to move the ball consistently with a quarterback like Jones with this running ground.

Tua Tagovailoa has been accurate the last two weeks. He threw for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns on 81.8% completions versus the New York Jets, and then 230 yards and a touchdown on 87.1% completions last week.

I’m not confident in the Giants’ offense doing enough to make this one interesting in the 4th quarter. Jones is going to do something stupid to give the game away, and the Dolphins take advantage.

There is also a chance that he may not start if he isn’t cleared from his neck injury. That would leave veteran backup Mike Glennon in the starting role for the Giants. Glennon passed for 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62% completions with the Jags last year.

I like the Dolphins in a 24-14 game at Hard Rock Stadium.


Giants vs. Dolphins Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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