New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 5 Pick – October 10

Wake up and start your Sunday morning of NFL Week 5 with a little action from overseas, as the Jets and Falcons resume the sport’s London football series.

Set your alarms as the kickoff for this clash is slated for 9:30 AM, And whether you enjoy these matches or not, there’s still value to be had.

Last week we saw the Jets finally shake off their early season sloppiness with an impressive showing against Tennessee. They secured their first win of the season, and rookie QB Zach Wilson took full advantage of a porous TItans’ secondary.

The Falcons too enter with a 1-3 mark, and though many figured this would be the year Atlanta got back on top in the NFC South, early season injuries have derailed their hopes. Matt Ryan is limited with poor protection and already having Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage out. Kyle Pitts has not been as good as advertised, and as a result the Falcons have struggled on both sides of the football.

This game is undoubtedly a big one if these teams want any hope of contending for the post-season, and it should bring out some desperation from two struggling clubs. Read on beneath the current live odds, for more data, trends, and analysis as we look to start your Sunday morning with an easy winner. Enjoy NFL London, folks!

New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag

Spread:

  • New York Jets +3 (-115)
  • Atlanta Falcons -3 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • New York Jets (+125)
  • Atlanta Falcons (-145)
Total Points:

  • Over 44.5 (-105)
  • Under 44.5 (-115)
TEAM DATA JETS FALCONS
Overall Record 1-3-0 1-3-0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-3-0
Home/Away Record 0-1-0 0-2-0
Points Per Game 34.3 18.0
Points Against Per Game 11.8 19.5
Passing Yards Per Game 199.8 232.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 76.3 86.7

New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction:

It will certainly be interesting to see what type of gameplan the Jets go back to following a stellar outing last week in Tennessee. Did they build useful momentum, or was it just a blip?

To be fair to rookie QB Zach Wilson, he has had a very tough start to the season. Going against the Broncos, Panthers, and Patriots’ defenses hasn’t been easy, and perhaps we saw a fairer representation of his ability last week vs. Tennessee. He took care of the ball, got decent protection, made proper reads, and aired it out with confidence.

In London on Sunday, expect more of the same as Atlanta’s defensive backfield enters Week 5 in rough shape. They struggle badly in coverage, and Wilson should be able to take full advantage as a result. The Jets boast playmakers at the wideout position, so look for huge outings from Corey Davis in particular.

For Atlanta, they’ll likely counter with a heavy aerial attack of their own. Matt Ryan and this Falcons’ offense likes to throw the football, though it’ll be tougher in Week 5 without Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage – arguably Ryan’s top two pass catchers at the moment.

New York will counter with an aggressive pass rush, and combine that with the fact that they really don’t need to worry too heavily about the Falcons’ ground game. Atlanta’s rush offense has been woeful, led by Mike Davis. If the Jets sit back and anticipate the throw, opportunities will be there to capitalize on turnovers.

 

Jets vs. Falcons Trends To Know:

  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5.
  • Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games in Week 5.
  • Under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

 

I’m not entirely sure if this line is factoring in a decisive homefield advantage for the Falcons here on Sunday, but it’s the only rationale for the Falcons being three-point favourites.  They’ve a flawed and banged-up team right now, and without Atlanta’s key playmakers, it’s tough to see Matt Ryan moving the ball consistently on an otherwise solid stop unit.  In a neutral site game, look for the pesky Jets to surprise again with another victory.

My Pick
Jets +3
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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