New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Pick – NFL Week 1

A season filled with lofty expectations begins for the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium in Orchard Park. Buffalo is home to some of the rowdiest fans in the NFL. It’s more of a college football atmosphere than anything else you’ll experience in another NFL city, especially the tailgating in the parking lot right next to the stadium.

However, no fans will be allowed into Bills Stadium under New York’s COVID-19 restrictions. The tailgating will not be permitted as well, so if you are looking forward to videos out of Buffalo on Sunday’s in 2020, you will have to wait at least a year.

The Bills still have to deal with the New England Patriots in the AFC East, but with Tom Brady gone to the NFC, there is some speculation that it’s finally time for the Bills. I will say that, yes, this might be the best chance for the Bills to win the division in over two decades. However, the Patriots aren’t going anywhere in the division.

The Bills should be even better than last season after adding Stefon Diggs to their receiving core. Diggs wanted out of Minnesota, and the Bills were in the market for a stud wide receiver. What the Bills are hoping is that this isn’t Odell Beckham all over again. Beckham wanted out of New York, got his wish and went to the Browns. He’s shown up in spots, but we’re still waiting on Odell to reach his full potential in Cleveland.

Fortunately, things are a little more grounded in Buffalo, and there is an elite defense on the other side of the ball for a more well-rounded team than they have in Cleveland. In any event, Diggs is expected to take the Bills’ offense to another level. He can certainly provide a deep threat like the Bills haven’t had before in the Josh Allen era.

There are no more excuses for Allen. He was selected highly in the draft and needs to begin putting up big numbers with a big time receiver. The front office did their job. There is also pressure on Sam Darnold to take his game to the next level.

Darnold doesn’t have the luxury of throwing to Diggs in his offense, though. Despite that, Jets’ fans want to see Darnold pass for at least 25 touchdowns after tossing 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions a season ago. Head below for our free New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills pick for NFL Week 1.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Week 1 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Jets +6.5 (-105)
  • Bills -6.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Jets (+250)
  • Bills (-300)
Total:

  • Over 40 (-110)
  • Under 40 (-110)

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New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction:

The key to seeing better numbers for Sam Darnold in 2020 is the running game. The Jets acquired Le’Veon Bell last year and he sputtered. After sitting out a year because of a contract dispute, Bell rushed for just 789 yards on 3.2 yards per carry in his first season with the Jets.

This was after recording 1,291 and 1,268 yards in his final two seasons in Pittsburgh with the Steelers. Not exactly what the Jets were expecting from Bell when they decided to sign him. It’s imperative that Bell can find his game again or setting up the pass for Darnold is going to be difficult.

It’s likely going to be especially difficult against the Bills’ defense on Sunday. The Bills were third in the NFL with 298.3 yards allowed per game. Their ability to stop the pass was the fourth best with just 195.2 yards allowed per contest. Tre’Davious White had a breakout season for the Bills, as the former LSU Tiger hauled in 6 interceptions and held quarterbacks to a 38.9 QBR.

There is another player on the Bills’ defense that I’m most excited for this season, though. 22-year-old Tremaine Edmunds is expected to thrive for the Bills at middle linebacker in his third season in the NFL. He was selected in the first round of the 2018 draft out of Virginia Tech and is looking more and more like a wise decision. He’s one of the leading tacklers on the team, but even more is expected out of Edmunds this season.

In summary, the Bills are going to stout again defensively. Scoring on them is not going to be easy, though the Jets did play the Bills tough last season with a 13-6 win in Buffalo and 17-16 loss back home. The Jets didn’t have to deal with this revamped offense, though. Diggs adds an element to this offense that we haven’t seen before. Look for this game to be closer than many anticipate, though the Bills likely get out of Sunday with an 8 to 10 point win.

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The Bet
BUFFALO BILLS -6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.