New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick – NFL Week 8

The New York Jets and Kansas City Chiefs are set for a Week 8 matchup at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Chiefs continue to roll after they dispatched the Denver Broncos in the snow last week by a score of 43-16. For the second straight year, snowy conditions didn’t bother Patrick Mahomes against the Broncos. Both wins were easy victories for Mahomes and the Chiefs.

A day before the game, the weather was expected to be much worse than it was, though. Snowstorm conditions were expected then, but fortunately the Denver area missed the brunt of the storm during Sunday afternoon. Last week was a complete effort by the Chiefs, and it’s been that way throughout the season. While Mahomes and the offense draw all of the headlines, the defense is showing up in a big way as well.

The defense is by far the most underrated aspect of this team. Mahomes hasn’t really needed to go wild through the air yet. There is going to be a time for that, but it hasn’t been needed in most of their games. It’s likely not going to be necessary against the winless Jets on Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead. The Jets are still searching for their first win after watching a 10-0 lead against the Buffalo Bills dissipate last week. They went on to lose 18-10 following 18 unanswered points by the Bills.

The Bills were not interested in that game and were littered with injuries, but the Jets couldn’t take advantage of the situation. The Bill just wanted to win and get out of the Meadowlands instead of making a big statement. Sam Darnold got the starting nod last week after missing some time with a shoulder injury. Naturally, Joe Flacco wasn’t going to stop the bleeding for the Jets. At least Darnold can move around in the pocket and extend plays.

There isn’t much of a storyline for this matchup. We have a Super Bowl contender versus a team with the best chance of getting the No. 1 pick in the draft. If you’re trying to find something, though, I’d say that the Le’Veon Bell angle against the Jets might mean something. I would think Bell would have more motivation to play well against the Steelers, but he should still be excited to get back on the field, especially with a quality team. Head below for our free Jets vs. Chiefs prediction for November 1, 2020.

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 8 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Jets -19.5 (-110)
  • Chiefs +19.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Jets (+1150)
  • Chiefs (-2500)
Total:

  • Over 49 (-115)
  • Under 49 (-105)

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Jets vs. Chiefs Prediction:

People are going to first turn to the Chiefs’ offense and Mahomes when handicapping this game, but I believe the most important variable is their defense against Sam Darnold and the Jets’ offense. Maybe if Jamison Crowder and Breshad Perriman were healthy I’d give the Jets’ offense a chance to show signs of life.

However, Darnold and a depleted Jets’ offense looks like a total mismatch versus the Chiefs’ secondary. This unit should begin to get more accolades, and I think if they didn’t have a superstar quarterback like Mahomes, the defense would receive attention.

The Chiefs held Drew Lock to 254 yards passing and forced him into 2 interceptions. In garbage time with the Chiefs holding onto a big lead, Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay were able to pick up easy yardage against a Chiefs’ defense playing back, but that’s about all for the Broncos’ offense.

Note that the Chiefs are fourth in the NFL with just 211.7 yards conceded per game. On the road at Arrowhead, with Darnold working with a depleted offense, I don’t see how he’s going to move the ball on the Chiefs at any point in this game. I will give him the benefit of the doubt and give him one successful drive.

The Jets are dead last in the NFL with 264.4 yards per game. That’s in total. There are several teams passing for more yards than the Jets have between the air and ground. And with Crowder and Perriman both potentially out, Darnold is going to have to figure something out on his own. Darnold will certainly have all the blame levied on him, but there isn’t much he can do in this offense.

Mahomes has been in good form with 16 touchdowns and 1 interception 65.7% completions. He has also gained 165 yards on the ground with 2 scores. This is without Mahomes having a monster game. He’s consistently gone about his business and has taken everything the defense gives him. The Jets will likely give him a lot to work with on Sunday.

With Perriman out and Crowder doubtful, I don’t foresee the Jets’ offense accomplishing much in this one. I was on the Jets plus the points against the Bills last week, one of maybe a handful of people in the world. That was a direct result of the Bills being injured. The Chiefs are healthy and have a chance to hammer a short-handed Jets’ offense on Sunday. This is a lot of points obviously. In any event, a 34-10 win for the Chiefs is where I’m going with this game.

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The Bet
KC CHIEFS -19.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.