New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Pick – NFL Week 15

The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins have a Week 15 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Jets are coming off a tough showing in a 30-9 loss to the New Orleans Saints. Zach Wilson had to make a play or two, but was inaccurate and didn’t get much help from his offense.

Wilson connected on just 19 of 42 attempts for 202 yards. He threw no touchdowns, but the positive with his effort is that Wilson didn’t turn the ball over. It’s tough operating behind this offensive line not to throw interceptions, so at least we can give that to Wilson?

He gained 33 yards on 4 carries for his most productive plays of the game, but when Braxton Berrios is your leading receiver at 6 receptions and 52 yards, you know that the offense has problems.

There would be nothing wrong with Berrios on a team like the Buccaneers or Chiefs, but he shouldn’t have to be a No. 1 option. Beyond weapons for Wilson, the Jets need to work on improving their offensive line first.

The Jets looked ready for the NFL Draft, though. They would currently have the No. 4 and No. 7 picks in the first-round. As a result of the Jamal Adams trade, the Jets get the Seahawks’ first-round selection. That’s great news for a team that needs to fill multiple holes.

The best course of action at this point would be for the Jets to tank, but at the same time, the organization and fans want to see progress from Wilson. There isn’t a consensus top-5 in the draft this season, so it should work out well regardless, though.

They are in Miami against a Dolphins team that is looking for a spot in the postseason. The AFC Wild Card race is wide open, and the Dolphins think they still have a chance at 6-7 going into Week 15.

Keep in mind that the Dolphins were 1-7 through eight games earlier in the season. They’ve won five in a row and have been the hottest team in the NFL that no one is talking about since November.

During that time, their schedule hasn’t been the toughest in the world, but a 22-10 win over the Baltimore Ravens was nothing to ignore. Their defense has taken on another level as of late.

Head below for our free Jets vs. Dolphins pick on December 19, 2021.

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
New York Jets +9.5 (-112) +340 Over 41 (-110)
Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-108) -420 Under 41 (-110)
Team Data New York Jets Miami Dolphins
Overall Record 3-10 6-7
ATS Record 3-10-0 7-5-1
Away/Home Record 1-4-0 4-3-0
ATS Away/Home 1-4-0 4-3-0
Points Per Game 17.4 19.5
Points Against Per Game 30.5 22.2
Passing Yards Per Game 237.4 230.5
Rushing Yards Per Game 84.2 79.2

Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction:

The Jets have had offensive line problems this season and it’s going to get worse without George Fant starting at tackle. Fant is doubtful with a knee injury and most likely will be unavailable for the Jets on Sunday. Ouch.

That’s one of those injuries that might go unnoticed, but it’s a huge loss for a Jets’ offensive line that has done a terrible job at protecting their quarterback and opening up holes. The Jets are tied for 26th in the NFL allowing 2.8 sacks per game.

Expect the Dolphins to put on a strong pass rush in this one without Fant at tackle. It’s a critical injury to a team that can’t afford any injuries to their offensive line. The Dolphins’ defense has taken major strides forward after a sloppy start.

Miami has conceded an average of 11 points per game during their five-game winning streak. Overall, the Dolphins are down to 22.2 points conceded per game through Week 15. I have confidence in the Dolphins handling the Jets at home in this contest.

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Trends:


  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games as an underdog
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games versus the AFC
  • 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games after a double-digit loss at MetLife Stadium
  • 7-18-1 ATS in their previous 26 games versus the AFC East


  • 5-0-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 3-0-1 ATS in their previous four games versus the AFC
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games at Hard Rock Stadium
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a losing record
  • 6-0 ATS in their previous six games after a bye week

With a bye week to prepare for the New York Jets, the Dolphins should be well-prepared for this contest. Tua Tagovailoa is showing some progress, passing for 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 70.9% completions this season.

He’s passed for 474 yards and 3 touchdowns in his last three outings. Tua hasn’t thrown an interception since November 21 against the Jets on the road. Back home off a bye with time to rectify with what he did wrong in that 24-17 win, expect a steady performance.

Wilson needs Fant on the offensive line at Hard Rock Stadium, but it’s not looking promising. The rookie has passed for 6 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 56.1% completions. I think his struggles are a bit of both him and the Jets.

Wilson needed the perfect situation to go to in the NFL and he landed with the Jets. He has time to learn and grow, though Wilson at BYU always seemed like a guy that needed time to develop and the right team. The fascination with him in college was hard for me to accept.

The Dolphins have been quietly coming on recently and should be able to take care of the Jets off a bye at home. Miami can’t afford a loss versus the lowly Jets if they’re going to remain in the postseason race. In a game that will exemplify the poor Jets’ offensive line, expect the Dolphins to cover in a 28-14 win.


Jets vs. Dolphins Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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