NFL Pick: Miami Dolphins at New York Giants – Week 15

Here in Week 15, there are a ton of matchups that feature hefty playoff implications, however, the game between the Miami Dolphins (3-10) and New York Giants (2-11) isn’t one of those contests. Simply put: This is a game that only the gambling community can love.

The Dolphins head to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey for a battle between AFC vs. NFC on December 15, with the kickoff being 1:00 PM ET against the Giants.

Spread:

  • Dolphins +3.5 (-110)
  • Giants -3.5 (-110)
Money line:

  • Dolphins (+165)
  • Giants (-185)
Total Points:

  • Over 46.5 (-110)
  • Under 46.5 (-110)

Miami Dolphins 2019 Season

The Miami Dolphins would get off to a horrendous start to begin the new campaign, piling up an 0-7 record to kick off 2019. Despite that, however, the Dolphins haven’t given up  All of a sudden, the Dolphins would become competitive, and in their last six games, they’ve actually compiled a .500 3-3 record — not too shabby for this Miami team. Last week, they would take a 22-21 heartbreaking road loss to their rival New York Jets, and now their back at MetLife Stadium this week for a second consecutive game to take on the other NYC team in the Giants. On the road this season straight up, they’ve put together a horrid 1-5 tally, but against the spread as an away team, they’ve put together a solid 4-2 record.

Miami Dolphins Betting Record

ATS 7-6-0 | OVER/UNDER 6-7-0

Miami Dolphins Offensive Leaders

  • QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: 2,511 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, 12 interceptions
  • RB Patrick Laird: 231 total yards, 1 touchdown
  • WR DeVante Parker: 882 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns
  • TE Mike Gesicki: 407 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns

New York Giants 2019 Season

Setting a new franchise record, the New York Giants would lose a ninth consecutive game after suffering a 23-17 overtime defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football. Eli Manning would get his first start since Week 2, and would end up leading the Giants to a 17-3 lead at halftime. However, New York would be shutout for the rest of the game, which would result in the loss. As far as their straight up and against the spread records are concerned, the Giants are pretty dismal either way. They’re 1-5 straight up at home, and they have the same exact record in East Rutherford ATS.

New York Giants Betting Record

ATS 5-8-0 | OVER/UNDER 7-6-0

New York Giants Offensive Leaders

  • QB Eli Manning: 759 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions
  • RB Saquon Barkley: 902 passing yards, 3 touchdowns
  • WR Darius Slayton: 659 passing yards, 7 touchdowns
  • TE Evan Engram*: 467 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns

*Engram is questionable due to a foot injury that has made him miss four straight games

Recent History Between Miami Dolphins and New York Giants

This is the first meeting between the two since 2015, and surprisingly, despite both organizations being over 50 years old, the Miami Dolphins and New York Giants have only met eight times in their history — Sunday will be just the ninth. Against the Dolphins all-time, the Giants are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS. The last two times that the teams would meet would be back in 2015, when the Giants would secure a 31-24 victory in Miami, while in 2011, New York would grab a 20-17 win at home.

So, Who’s Going to Win?

Motivation is something that has been hard for both the Miami Dolphins and New York Giants to obtain this season, but both will have it coming into this matchup. For New York, they’re trying to break a nine-game losing streak, and also are trying to obtain a victory for Eli Manning before he retires from a 16-year career — and also get him back to a .500 career record, he’s just one game below that mark. Needless to say, that’s plenty of motivation to get pumped up for this contest. The matchup sets up well for Manning too, with him facing the second worst passing defense in the NFL. This season, the Dolphins have allowed 31 touchdown passes, which is just behind the Arizona Cardinals and their league-worst 32 touchdown throws.

For Miami, they want to do a few things: Continue their stretch of winning games after a horrendous 0-7 start, getting a win on the road in New York and spoil Eli Manning’s last game as the starting quarterback of the New York Giants. But there’s an issue for the Dolphins: Injuries. Both DeVante Parker and Albert Wilson would suffer concussions during last week’s game against the New York Jets and are listed questionable for this week against the other New York team in the Giants. With Parker, that’s a pretty substantial loss, with the wide receiver leading in yards, touchdowns, receptions and targets. It’s an even bigger loss when you realize how bad the Dolphins have been struggling on the offensive side of the ball. Last week against the Jets, they would rack up 21 points which all came from seven field goals.

So, with all of that being said, let’s go ahead and start the betting: First off, take the UNDER here at 46.5 points. Like I said, the Dolphins are struggling to score points right now. If it wasn’t for their kicker, they would have had zero last week. It’s been a pretty dismal offense for Miami, and it doesn’t get any better with Parker out of the picture. So yeah, bet the UNDER here. Which takes me to your victor: The New York Giants. They have all of the leverage here. They’re at home, they want to earn this victory for Eli Manning and they want to snap their six-game losing streak. Plus, they’re playing the Miami Dolphins, and as a life-long fan of the Fins, I’ve seen this story before. Take the New York Giants for the victory, and in ugly fashion with how hideous these two teams are — Giants don’t cover the spread either.

BETTING PREDICTION: New York Giants 20, Miami Dolphins 17

Andrew Powell / Author

Andrew Powell has been working with The Sports Geek since November 2018 providing analysis and predictions in both the realms of sports and politics. Studying journalism through the University of Michigan, Powell's experience in sports includes tenures at mainstream newspapers The Williamsport Sun-Gazette and The Lock Haven Express, and he would also be affiliated with FOX Sports Radio 1340 AM in Hopewell, Virginia. In politics, it would include a stint with Mad World News and multiple with the Republican Party. From the Super Bowl to The Kentucky Derby to President Donald Trump's hair, Powell has you covered at The Sports Geek.