To my loyal NFL Picks followers, I’m sorry for not posting last weekend – I was in Las Vegas on vacation! It seems like I only get these weekly NFL Pick articles posted every other weekend, and I really need to make sure I get around to doing it each week. I am 6-0 in my last six picks, which included 3-0 in my Week 9 Picks and 3-0 in my Week 7 NFL Picks. I look to continue to my perfect run in Week 11, and have a couple picks I am confident in. Week 11 sees some more great NFL match ups as the Patriots and Colts square off, Green Bay visits Favre in Minnesota, the Giants and Eagles play a divisional Sunday Night game, and Denver will be in San Diego for the Money Night’er. Below are my NFL Week 11 picks against the spread, good luck this week.
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NFL Week 11 Betting Picks:
Texans/Jets OVER 45.5 Points (-105) @ BetED.com <– $250 FREE on 1st deposit
The Texans (4-5) come into New York desperate for a win as they have dropped three straight and have quickly dropped to last in the AFC South. The Jets have squeaked out wins against Cleveland and Detroit in their last two games, and sit 7-2 on the season at the top of the AFC. The OVER is 6-3 in the Texans 9 games this season, and 7-2 in the Jets 9 games on the year. Houston’s defense is really struggling right now allowing an average of 30 points in their last 3 games, and I think the Jets offense who averages just over 23 points can put up bigger numbers against that Houston defense in front of their home crowd.
Washington Redskins +7 (-107) @ 5Dimes.com <– Offering reduced juiced odds
The Redskins are in Tennessee this weekend, as both teams look to bounce back from two straight losses. Tennessee lost 29-17 in Miami, while the Redskins were embarrassed in the Monday Night’er, as Vick and the Eagles put a 59-28 pounding on them. There is no doubt in my mind that the Redskins are lucky to be 4-5 this year with the way they’ve played in some of these games, but I think 7 points is somewhat of a reaction to last weeks poor prime time performance. The Redskins haven’t been anything higher than 5 point dogs this season, while the Titans haven’t been higher than 6.5 point favorites. Washington is 3-0-1 against the spread in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record, and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. The Skins get it done this week, probably not with a straight up win, but I’ll take the 7 points.
Ravens/Panthers UNDER 37.5 Points (-110) @ Sportsbook.com <– Get $250 FREE
The Ravens average 21.8 points per game, with the 5 of their 9 games going UNDER the posted total. The Panthers straight up stink on offense, averaging an embarrassing 11.6 points per game and 6 of their 9 games have gone UNDER the posted total (despite the extremely low totals). The only thing going for the Panthers is their pass defense, which ranks 5th in the NFL. The Under is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or higher, and the Under is 5-0 in the Ravens last 5 games as a road favorite. The Under is also 37-16-1 in the Panthers last 54 home games. I don’t see the Panthers putting up many points against this solid Ravens defense, and I can’t see the Ravens offense carrying it over the posted total. The play is on the UNDER in this one.