The Week 14 edition of NFL Sunday has arrived on December 12. I can’t say that I’m overly thrilled for this card on Sunday, but the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers should provide a must-watch event.
The Sunday Night Football matchup of the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers doesn’t exactly do much for me. The Monday Night Football matchup to close out Week 14 should be a good one, though.
With the Patriots on a bye in Week 14, three of the NFL's longest win streaks are on the line. pic.twitter.com/r9Yj9F0gy5
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) December 12, 2021
The Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals meet in what has to be the most intriguing matchup next to the Bills and Buccaneers. That’s a game that could decide the NFC West. The Cardinals have a 10-2 advantage on the 8-4 Rams.
Is there anything else on Sunday that looks interesting besides the Bills and Buccaneers? The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Football Team is a big matchup for both teams, while the 49ers and Bengals could play out to be entertaining.
There’s games on Sunday, and it doesn’t matter where it’s a “good” matchup to win prop betting. We highlight the best prop bets for Week 14 after a profitable attempt in Week 13. Head below for our best NFL Week 14 prop bets.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Props
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Total Rushing Yards
The Raiders head to Arrowhead as fairly sizable underdogs, as they’ve reached double digits as of Saturday night.
They’re coming off a tough 17-15 loss against the Washington Football Team at home. It’s their fourth loss in five attempts, as the off-the-field problems appear to finally be having an impact.
Their defense put a lot of effort into that loss, and it’s going to be interesting to see how they handle Arrowhead. If they have little motivation on Sunday, the Chiefs could blow this one open.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire should see a healthy dose of the ball in this one. The Raiders have struggled to defend the run, as they’ve allowed 124.8 rushing yards per game for 26th in the NFL.
Edwards-Helaire missed several weeks, returning against the Cowboys two games back to 63 yards and a touchdown on 5.2 yards per carry.
He’s gained at least 54 yards in his last full four starts. In the one he didn’t go for at least 63 yards, a decent Bronco defense stopped him for 54 yards last week.
Against this paper thin Raiders’ defense versus the run, Edwards-Helaire should clear at least 65 yards on Sunday afternoon.
Derek Carr Total Passing Yards
I’m not completely confident in Derek Carr having a big game against the Chiefs, at least enough to keep pace. However, by volume alone, Carr should put up numbers.
I am confident in the Chiefs taking an early lead and forcing Carr to keep the ball in the air. The Raiders are going to have to press offensively. Carr has put up decent numbers despite this tough season for the team.
He’s passed for 3,663 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions on 67.8% completions. Carr has passed for at least 258 yards in five of his last seven, and a minimum of 250 yards in six of seven.
In their first meeting, Carr threw for 261 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception in a 41-14 loss. If Carr passes for around 260 more yards against the Chiefs it wouldn’t be a surprise. The Raiders need to keep firing away against the KC secondary.
New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Props
Taysom Hill Total Rushing Yards
Taysom Hill may not know how to pass a football properly at the NFL level, but he’s still a determined runner that doesn’t say no if there’s an opportunity to take off.
The Saints probably should have given him more chances to run in their 27-17 loss to the Cowboys. Hill threw 4 interceptions in the loss.
His most effective tool was his legs, which the Saints should have leaned on more often. Hill ran for 101 yards on 9.2 yards per carry. When he was running, their offense was at its best.
If the Saints are going to avoid getting upset against the Jets, they need Hill to put his head down and pick up yards on his legs. He’s dealing with a bad finger on his throwing hand, and that might go into consideration as well.
In a game plan that is going to be focused on the option with Alvin Kamara back on the field, expect Hill to gallop for at least 60 yards in this one.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Props
Jimmy Garoppolo Total Passing Yards
It isn’t the biggest matchup on the schedule, but this is an important game for both teams. The 49ers at 6-6 and Bengals at 7-5 could be going to the playoffs. There’s a lot of answers that remain in the NFL.
A win here would certainly help both teams. The Bengals are coming off a tough loss against the LA Chargers last week. They got behind, caught up, and then the Chargers pulled away again.
A Joe Mixon fumble returned for a touchdown when the game was 24-22 changed the direction after the Bengals had some momentum. If there’s a weakness on the Bengals, it’s their pass defense.
Cincinnati is near the back of the NFL in 27th against the pass. They’ve allowed 256.9 yards per game. Jimmy Garoppolo goes into Sunday with 2,641 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions.
Jimmy G is coming off a 299-yard performance versus the Seahawks. He came just a yard short of his third 300-yard game in three of his last six outings.
Deebo Samuel could be available this week after he returned to practice on Friday. No word on his status, but he says he feels good. In a game where the 49ers will likely have to air it out, expect more than 250 yards here.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Props
Trevor Lawrence Total Rushing Yards
Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars need a spark in Nashville. There’s more drama surrounding Urban Meyer, as he reportedly got into an argument with Marvin Jones, along with calling his assistant coaches losers.
There’s tension in Jacksonville and I don’t know if Meyer will be on the sideline next year. It’s like he’s begging the organization to fire him. Lawrence would probably be better off in a more stable environment.
He’s thrown just 1 touchdown in his last five games. The optimist would point out that Lawrence has no interceptions since October 31. That’s a good sign for a quarterback that had turnovers problems earlier on in his rookie season.
Lawrence can run and we saw him do it often at Clemson. He’s not going to run for big gains as much in the NFL, but Lawrence still gets out of trouble on his legs.
Going into Week 14, Lawrence has gained 241 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4.9 yards per attempt. He had 10 yards last week, the first time he hasn’t run for at least 23 yards four games back on November 7.
In desperation mode, look for Lawrence to put the game into his own hands. I like at least 20 yards from Lawrence on the ground.
Ryan Tannehill Total Passing Yards
Buying low and selling high isn’t a bad prop strategy for some players. For inconsistent quarterbacks like Ryan Tannehill, he can be one to back after a bad game.
Tannehill and the Titans are coming off a bye following an ugly performance versus the Patriots. He passed for 93 yards with a touchdown and interception in a defensive clinic.
With Julio Jones back this week against a bad team like the Jaguars, expect a bounce back outing for Tannehill. He torched Houston for 323 yards before the off day versus the Pats.
The Jaguars have allowed 248.3 yards against the pass per game this season. You can find worse in the NFL, but a unit that Lawrence should be able to navigate through.
This is a prop bet where I see the total being too low. I’m looking at more like 250 yards for Tannehill than 225ish yards.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Props
Baker Mayfield Total Passing Yards Prop
I played the Baker Mayfield passing prop against the Ravens two weeks back and going back to the drink for more. The Ravens are banged up especially in the secondary.
Mayfield doesn’t have to be perfect to surpass this prop either. He’s looking for an efficient game to put the Browns back into contention in the playoff hunt, and with the Ravens in dire straits with injuries, he must show up.
In their earlier matchup, Mayfield passed for 247 yards and a touchdown. He easily went OVER his passing prop in Baltimore.
The Browns had an off week following that matchup, while the Ravens had to go up against the Steelers in a physical contest.
With an extra week to look at the tape, while the Ravens were prepping for the Steelers, Mayfield has to show up in this one. I’m betting he at least passes for around 250 yards again.
Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Bets
Josh Allen Total Passing Yards
Josh Allen was held down by bad weather in Orchard Park last week. That was a crazy game in the elements, with the Patriots only needing three pass attempts to win on the road by a score of 14-10.
They are going to see much more passing attempts this week from Tom Brady. Allen will actually have a chance to run the offense under the sun in Florida for this contest.
After failing to get the ball in the air, expect Allen and the Bills to come out firing. If there’s any weakness on the Buccaneers, it has to be their secondary.
With a strong game from Allen, he should be able to dice the Bucs up nicely. Tampa is 20th in the NFL with 248.4 passing yards allowed per game. They should give up much more than that this afternoon.
Allen should be able to get his frustration out after he was unable to get off the ground last week. In a back and forth game, Allen should get his and pass for at least 300 yards at Raymond James Stadium.
Tom Brady Total Passing Yards
Tom Brady has made a good career out of beating up on the Bills. He’s passed for 8,669 yards, 70 yards, 25 interceptions on 64% completions versus Buffalo.
Brady should have a fun time on Sunday with the Bills missing Tre’Davious White absent in the secondary for the Bills. Bill Belichick knows how to exploit holes on a defense, but so does Brady.
Expect the Bucs to attack the Bills’ secondary early and often without White. It’s one player, but you can’t subtract him from the defense and look for the same results. Brady leads the NFL with 311.1 passing yards per game.
He is up to 3,771 yards, 34 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions on 68.3% completions. Brady has passed for at least 307 yards in three of his last five outings, including 368 yards versus the Falcons last week.
The spotlight is on Brady, and I can see both of these quarterbacks exchanging blows at Raymond James Stadium. Look for fireworks with Brady and Allen dueling in Tampa in Week 14.