NFL Sunday has arrived with the first bye week of the season. There are four teams on byes this week. The Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, New York Jets, and San Francisco Giants will be sitting out this week.
The biggest bye week is in Week 7 next week, with six teams getting the week off. The Bills, Cowboys, Steelers, and Chargers are the most notable teams that won’t be playing next week.
Herbert. Jackson. ?
— NFL (@NFL) October 17, 2021
Week 6 is the smallest card we’ve had so far this season, but there are still some good games on the schedule. The Arizona Cardinals and Cleveland Browns might be the most intriguing matchup.
That’s the one I’m going to be paying the most attention to on Sunday. The primetime matchup on Monday night is a pretty good one as well. It’s a big-time matchup for a Tennessee Titans team searching for a signature win.
TheSportsGeek will have a look at the Bills and Titans props later on. For the purposes of this article, we are looking at props for the Sunday card. Head below for our best NFL Week 6 prop bets.
Houston Texas vs. Indianapolis Colts Props
Jonathan Taylor Total Rushing Yards
The Indianapolis Colts likely aren’t going to do anything too exotic in this one. They should be able to get out to an early lead and then cruise. It’s unlikely that Carson Wentz will be asked to air the ball out frequently against the Texans.
That should be a fine game plan versus a Texans team that struggles to stop the run, and likely doesn’t have the offense to keep up on the road. Get out to an early lead, and then allow the Colts’ ground game to chew up the clock.
Jonathan Taylor is probably looking at doing considerable damage this afternoon. He has gained 327 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4.5 yards per carry. Taylor would have more if Wentz didn’t have to pass so much from behind.
The Texans are 26th in the NFL with 134.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Expect a heavy dose of Taylor with a good chance of him going OVER this number.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Football Team Props
Taylor Heinicke Total Passing Yards
Taylor Heinicke has a big chance of putting up big numbers in this one. The Kansas City Chiefs haven’t looked like themselves this season, and you can say that for the offense and defense.
I don’t think anyone is going to criticize an offense averaging 420.4 yards and 30.8 points per game, but when it comes to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, people expect a lot.
If they had a defense then it’d be a moot point. The KC defense steadily improved over the last few years, but it isn’t there in 2021.
They’ve allowed 437.4 yards and 32.6 points per game for dead last in the NFL. Through the air, quarterbacks have racked up 296.4 yards per game.
Heinicke has been in decent form with 1,208 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 64.2% completions. For what he is you can’t expect much more.
This number looks on the short side in a game he’ll have to duel in against Mahomes. Expect Henicke to get to around 280 yards.
Tyreek Hill Total Receiving Yards
The Washington Football Team were expecting a big lift from their defense this season. They etched out an identity as being a tough defensive minded team that got stops.
That hasn’t been true this season. Washington is getting torched at a clip of 407.8 yards allowed per game. They’ve struggled against the big play.
This past week was a perfect example. Jameis Winston connects on a Hail Mary at the end of the half. Just hit the ball down on a jump ball and they couldn’t do that.
Washington has allowed 293.4 passing yards per game. Tyreek Hill is just asking to go off in this one. Washington has struggled against the deep ball, and who better than Hill to have a big play or two.
Hill is going into Sunday with 516 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. He should add to that and reach 600 yards on the season at FedEx Field.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Props
Justin Herbert Total Passing Yards
Justin Herbert and the Chargers are on the west coast looking for a win against the Baltimore Ravens. They won’t be dealing with a vintage Baltimore defense in this one.
The Ravens have not been holding up on the backend in their secondary. They’ve allowed 296.4 yards through the air per game for 30th in the NFL. Ed Reed isn’t in the secondary, that much is evident.
They’ve allowed a total of 389.6 yards per game for 24th in the league. Not a good recipe against this Chargers’ offense. Herbert is one of the best, not just young quarterback in the league.
He has passed for 1,576 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 67.1% completions. He’s coming off 398 yards against a very capable Cleveland defense last week.
What’s he going to do against the Ravens? Probably whatever he wants if the Ravens are in their normal defensive form in the secondary.
Austin Ekeler Total Receiving Yards
Austin Ekeler is one of the more underrated running backs in the NFL. He’s not mentioned in the same breath as Christian McCaffrey or Alvin Kamara, but Ekeler is in a tier behind that elite group.
Ekeler has rushed for 349 yards and 5.2 yards per carry on 67 attempts. He’s also been effective out of the backfield as a pass catcher. Ekeler’s had 23 receptions for 194 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He is coming off a solid performance as a receiver with 5 receptions and 53 yards and a score. Ekeler is usually good for at least 50 yards in the passing-game. Against a beatable secondary in what should be a high-scoring contest, Ekeler should get some looks.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns Props
Kareem Hunt Total Rushing+Receiving Yards
Nick Chubb has been ruled OUT for Week 6 in a big showdown against the Arizona Cardinals. The perfect Cardinals will look to stay undefeated in Cleveland in a tough matchup versus the Browns.
It sucks not to have Chubb for this one, but Kareem Hunt has the talent to receive a heavy workload and have success. The Browns have had the luxury of bouncing between Chubb and Hunt.
Now it’s Hunt time, as he has a good chance of leading the Browns’ offense. Hunt has gained 295 yards on 5.4 yards per carry.
He’s also made 17 receptions for 149 yards on 8.8 yards per reception. With the backfield to himself, this should be a game for him to put up big yardage.
The Cardinals haven’t been special against the run, as they’ve allowed 139 yards per game for 29th in the league. To beat the Cards, run the ball. Hunt will be on the receiving end of a heavy workload.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots Props
Mac Jones Total Passing Yards
If the Patriots are going to have a chance in this one they’re going to have to give Mac Jones an opportunity. Put the ball in Jones’ hands and the Patriots can win this one straight.
That’s the first step. The next is Jones having himself an afternoon at Gillette Stadium. There should be openings in the Dallas defense to make it happen.
The Cowboys’ secondary has been spotty at best. They’ve allowed 311 yards per game across the air. There is not another defense in the league that’s given up that many yards.
Jones has thrown 1,243 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 71.1% completions. He’s been fine for a rookie, but hasn’t had a breakout game. This is his best chance versus the Cowboys.
Dalton Schultz Total Receptions
Dalton Schultz has developed into a go-to option for Dak Prescott, especially when things break down and he needs a quick safety valve.
Schultz isn’t a dynamic player in the sense that he stretches the field like CeeDee Lamb or Amari Cooper. That said, Schultz works had to get open, and is generating attention.
Schultz has been able to do a fine job finding room to get open for Prescott to find him. He’s going into Sunday with 280 yards on 26 receptions and 3 touchdowns.
In his most recent outing, Schultz had a strong game with 6 receptions and 79 yards versus the Giants. It’s the third straight performance where Schultz has grabbed at least 6 receptions.
At 4.5 receptions and getting plus money on the OVER, this prop has to be worth considering in the Patriots and Cowboys matchup.