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NFL Week 6 Picks 2014

We split our two picks from week 5, however it’s a disappointing split as we definitely should have had both of our picks end up winners. The Packers completely blew the Vikings out of the water last Thursday night in Green Bay. As is the case a lot of the time, the road team playing a Thursday Nighter looked tired and at least one step behind all night long and ended up on the wrong end of a completely throttling. Aaron Rodgers continued his recent surge as he threw three touchdown passes, Eddie Lacy broke out and ran for two more, and the Packers defence got in the action with a pick six of their own in what was easily the most impressive Packers victory this season.

The pick that got away was the Philadelphia Eagles coming out on top over the visiting St. Louis Rams by six points, not enough to cover the 7.5 spread we took. This pick looked like it was in real good shape entering the 4th quarter as Philly lead 34-14 at that point, however the only points scored in the final frame was two touchdowns by the visitors. Clearly both Philly’s offense and defence were playing cautiously the wind down the game as their lead was very comfortable, and now they are 4-1 in what looks like a much improved NFC East.

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This week seems like there are a lot of tough games and potentially a lot of close games. However we will dive into the action here and grab a couple of winners to ease the pain of a disappointing week 5 split.

Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks

Lines – Seattle -9.5 (+105)
OVER 47 (-110)

My Pick – COWBOYS +9.5 (-125)

The biggest test yet for the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys comes this weekend in Seattle as the Seahawks look to continue their home dominance over the rest of the NFL. I must say that even though the Seahawks are as close to unbeatable on their home field as any other NFL team in recent memory, 9.5 points is a lot of points to be giving the Cowboys after the way they have started this season. Besides an opening game loss to the 49ers where Dallas essentially spotted San Fran the first 21 points of the game due to turnovers, this Cowboys team has looked as good as any team in the NFC this season. This is no small part due to the emergence of Runningback DeMarco Murray as his breakout season has arrived in a big way. Murray leads the NFL in rushing yards with 670 and carries with 130 this season, and is just the 3rd Runningback in NFL history with five consecutive 100+ yards rushing games to start a season. His counterpart in this tilt is no slouch either as Marshawn Lynch has been one of the most physical and feared runners in the game for several seasons and will likely go head-to-head with Murray in the ground game which will likely big a huge factor in determining who wins this football game. Besides having the best runningback in the game so far this season, Dallas possesses one of the best receivers in the league, and definitely the best receiver in this matchup. Dez Bryant will likely have the highly documented Richard Sherman draped on him all game long, however the big, powerful receiver for the Cowboys is one of few who can play through such tight coverage and pull down passes like he did last week against the Houston Texans in overtime. Bryant is the favourite to win almost every catchable jump ball thrown at him and he will definitely give Sherman everything he can handle this Sunday afternoon. Seattle does a run-stuffing defence as they give up just 62 yards on the ground per game, and the Cowboys are the better team against the pass this season, so it will be interesting to see the philosophy of both teams throughout this game. Seattle’s run defence will definitely be tested, and the Seahawks are likely to run a lot against the Cowboys which includes Russell Wilson as he scrambled for 85 yards and ran for more than 120 in Monday night’s win over the Redskins. This should be a great game and simply put I think the Cowboys are getting too many points to look away from. If you want to sell a half point here and get to +9 that works too, but take the Cowboys plus the points in what will be a close game from Seattle.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns

Lines – Browns -1 (-120)
OVER 47 (-110)

My Pick – STEELERS +1 (+100)

For the second time this season the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns square off in an ever-important divisional matchup. The Steelers squeaked out a win on their home turf in the season opener over the Browns after blowing a 27-3 halftime lead. The Browns seem to have a penchant for comebacks as they most recently completed the largest road comeback victory in NFL history. Cleveland trailed Tennessee 28-3 last week, only to see the Browns march all the way back and claim a 29-28 victory to get their record back to an even 2-2 on the season. When looking at this matchup, it is likely to be a close game due to the fact that Cleveland has won their two wins by a combined six points, and lost their two losses by a combined five points. If you dive deeper into the history between the Steelers and Browns, you see nothing but shear dominance by the Steelers. Pittsburgh has won their last four meetings with Cleveland, and 20 of their last 22 meetings overall. The Steelers offense has a nice balanced attack this season as they possess the AFC’s top rusher in Le’Veon Bell, while passing for 267 yards per game to average an impressive 404 yards per game on offense. Cleveland has been one of the better rushing teams in the league this season, but the Steelers only give up around 100 yards on the ground this season and also best the Browns in defending the pass, only surrendering 229 yards per game through the air. Here’s another tidbit of news: Ben Roethlisberger loves playing the Cleveland Browns. As mentioned above the Steelers have won four straight against Cleveland, however Roethlisberger has won eight straight over the Browns as he was injured in the Browns November, 2012 victory of the Steelers. He owns a career 18-1 record against Cleveland and has a passer rating of 101.5 against his divisional foe. In fact, that dominance is the best among NFL Quarterback’s against one opponent in at least 15 starts in 44 years. This game is likely to be close, physical and hard fought no doubt. It is also likely to be a Steelers victory as history shows us, so we will take the point here and ride Pittsburgh’s dominance over the Browns at a nice price.