Don’t look now, but the Packers are just a few games away from going a perfect 16-0. It will be the first time a team has gone undefeated since the 2007 Patriots. The Patriots fell in the Super Bowl to the same team the Packers are playing this week, the New York Giants. The Giants, however, are in the midst of another late season collapse. The pass rush which was once clicking earlier has all but stalled out. The pass rush is what was winning ball games for the Giants, but without this element of their defense, they have been getting torched. Most recently against Drew Brees on Monday night football, Brees passed for 363 yards and 5 total touchdowns. If the Giants fail to get a pass rush again against the Packers it will be another long day for their defense.
The Packers come into this one with all of the confidence in the world. The offense is unstoppable if there isn’t a defender in Rodgers face. The Packers simply have too many options to dissect a defense if he has time to be comfortable in the pocket. The passing game for the Packers is certainly their strong suit. They rank 3rd in the NFL in regards to passing yards at 304 yards per game, only behind the Patriots and Saints. The last time the Giants put a solid game together was against the Patriots in fact. However, the defense looked stingy and hungry at that point in the year. Since then, the Giants have regressed, a familiar theme for Giants fans at the end of the season. Against the Saints, though, no one could blame Eli Manning, where he passed for over 400 yards and 2 TDs. I know plenty of Giants fans want to shoulder the blame on Manning, but it’s silly to make such a claim this time. If the Giants want to win this game, they are going to need to keep up with the Packers offensively. The Giants will perhaps be getting Ahmad Bradshaw back to help out the running game, but I don’t believe he will have much of an impact in his first game in quite some time. It all comes down to defense for the Giants, though. Unfortunately for the Giants, their pass defense keeps getting worse as the season progresses (26th).
The Packers defense has left some people shaking their heads. A unit that was expected to be the best in the NFL is sitting at 30th in terms of total defense. They are giving up nearly 400 yards a game, but it hasn’t mattered due to the production of their offense. Also, yardage allowed can be a bit misleading. Simply because points allowed is a bigger indication of how things are going. In this respect, the Packers are only giving up just over 20 points a game. If you have watched much of the Packers this season, you would know they are an opportunistic bunch. Charles Woodson is playing lights out, like a fine wine; the guy just continues to get better as he gets older.
Packers vs. Giants Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Green Bay Packers -6
@ New York Giants +6
Over 52 (-110)
Under 52 (-110)
Packers vs. Giants Pick:
It all comes to one thing, if the Giants maintain a pass rush they can make it a game. But if not, Aaron Rodgers is going to do exactly what Drew Brees did on Monday night. I don’t see the Giants having any sense of urgency, the last several weeks they look like they have packed it in for the year. Eli Manning isn’t exactly the problem, but with the Giants defense regressing instead of improving it doesn’t matter how well he plays. To make matters worse, the Giants best pass rusher, Osi Umenyiora will not be playing in this one due to an injury. Aaron Rodgers should be able to do as he pleases without Umenyiora in his face. Bet the Packers here, with a game that should eclipse the 52 total points as well.