Packers vs. Bears Pick – NFL Week 1

After way too long of a wait, NFL football’s regular season is finally back and it will return with a bang with a historic matchup taking to the field.

The Chicago Bears will host the Green Bay Packers in an all-NFC clash, and even though it is just the first game of the season, with the aspirations of both squads this is certainly an important game. The NFC North is one of the divisions where any team has a shot at finishing in first place, so these intra-divisional contests take on extra importance.

Green Bay is coming off yet another disappointing season, but new coach Matt LaFleur has them ready to roll. Their defense is much-improved and a healthy Aaron Rodgers should be able to rebound and get this team back to the post-season. For the Bears, following a successful season under head coach Matt Nagy, Chicago will be hoping regression doesn’t set in following an unbelievable defensive season.

Right off the hop, this should be an intense and exciting match from kickoff. Both squads are evenly matched and this should provide for a thrilling game to begin the NFL season, perhaps with some early playoff implications. As always, read on below the odds for a detailed game breakdown and betting prediction for Bears/Packers.

Packers vs. Bears Betting Odds:

Green Bay Packers +3 (+100)
@ Chicago Bears -3 (-120)

Over 46 (-115)
Under 46 (-105)

Packers vs. Bears Pick:

Expect 2019 to be the redemption of one of the greatest quarterbacks of all-time in Aaron Rodgers. The future Hall-of-Famer was clearly injured last year, but by all accounts in 2019 he is healthy and ready to thrive.

He will be going against a tough Chicago Bears’ defense that will surely test him, but likely won’t be as good as the unit he regularly faced last year. For starters, Chicago simply cannot match their output in terms of production. It’s unsustainable, and a tougher strength-of-schedule should bring about some basic regression. Beyond that, the Bears have also lost two key players in Bryce Callahan, and Adrian Amos (now on the Packers). Both of those players were huge pieces of their secondary, and as a result there should be some openings downfield and in the slot for Green Bay on Thursday night.

There’s also a level of mystery as to what the Packers’ offense will look like in their first match. Chicago has no film and nothing to prepare for as new coach Matt LaFleur has completely revamped things from Mike McCarthy. It’s a modernized approach and should pay dividends with the visiting team in game one.

On the other side of the ball, Green Bay’s defense is also much-improved and they’ll be eager to shut down an impressive Bears’ attack. The Packers should be better against the pass after drafting Darnell Savage to pair with Amos. Green Bay has also bolstered their defensive line, and that unit should be able to both clamp down on young runner David Montgomery, while also not allowing Mitch Trubisky the time and space he needs in the pocket.

Chicago enters this year overrated because of what was accomplished last season. They’ve lost some pieces and the teams around them have improved. Green Bay is one of those squads and expect them to show their progress right away in the first game tonight. Expect a vintage outing from Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay’s revamped defense should pose problems. Look for Green Bay to take game one on the road.

My Pick
Packers +3
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.