Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Pick – NFL Week 9

Through the first eight weeks of the NFL regular season, the Green Bay Packers are resembling one of the strongest teams in the league. The offense is starting to click nicely, while the investments the club made on defense in the offseason are paying off handsomely.

The team hits the road this week to take on a Los Angeles Chargers team which entered the 2019 campaign with expectations that they would be competing for a return to the postseason. Unfortunately, the team has underperformed to date.

At 3-5, there’s still time to turn things around, but the clock is ticking. They took a step in the right direction with a road victory last week, but they’ll have their hands full for the return home. Additionally, there’s really no homefield advantage to speak of for the Chargers.

In fact, it wouldn’t be stunning to see the stands occupied by numerous fans of the Packers, as we’ve seen that scenario play out a number of times while the Chargers play their games in temporary digs. That said, the Packers still have to travel to play a team which is better than its record suggests.

There are just four games in the late afternoon window on Sunday, and this one may be the best of the bunch. Let’s take a look at what should be an entertaining affair by taking a gander at what the oddsmakers have to say.

Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 4:25 PM EST, Sun. Nov.3, CBS

Spread:

  • Green Bay -3.5 (-105)
  • LA Chargers +3.5 (-115)
Money line:

  • Green Bay -180
  • LA Chargers +160
Total Points:

  • Over 48.5 (-113)
  • Under 48.5 (-107)

Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Packers vs. Chargers Pick:

The Packers were on the road last time out for a Sunday Night Football affair with the Chiefs. They were 5.5-point favorites at kickoff, mainly due to the hosts being without the services of Patrick Mahomes. Kansas City put forth a solid effort in the absence of its signal caller, but the Packers walked away with a 31-24 win. Aaron Rodgers was stellar with a three-TD night.

The Chargers spent last Sunday in the Windy City for a date with the Chicago Bears. The team entered riding a three-game losing streak, and they were 3.5-point dogs at kickoff as they looked to right the ship. It turned into a low-scoring affair in which neither side could get much going on offense. In the end, the Bears missed a game-winning field goal opportunity as Los Angeles escaped with a 17-16 win.

Rec PF PA STD STK
Green Bay 7-1 215 163 1-NFC North W4
LA Chargers 3-5 157 157 1-AFC West W1

Green Bay kicked off the 2019 season with a 10-3 road win over the Chicago Bears in a defensive slugfest. Two more wins followed, but the team suffered its first defeat of the season at home to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Packers responded to the setback by winning its last four. The offense was quiet to start the year, but that’s not the case any longer.

Los Angeles opened up the year at home by taking down the Indianapolis Colts in overtime. That would prove to be one of the few bright spots as the team lost five of its next six games. The lone victory over that span came on the road over the Miami Dolphins. Sunday’s close win over the Bears has steadied things for now, but questions still abound for the Chargers.

Offense

PPG PaYdF RuYdF
GB 26.9 271.9 101.6
LAC 19.6 281.1 69.5
Defense

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
20.4 251.8 123.8
19.6 217.4 122.8
Miscellaneous

SaF SaA ToM PYPG
20 17 +7 47.5
18 14 -3 55.9

In the early part of the season, the story in Green Bay was the defense. The club made bolstering that side of the ball a priority in the offseason, and the efforts have to be ruled a success. While the defense did its thing, the Packers offense wasn’t quite as explosive as expected in the early going. That led to a ton of hyperbole from pundits, but Rodgers has quieted the chatter with several stellar outings.

Rodgers has been lights out the last two weeks while throwing eight TDs. For the season, he has 17 total scores versus two picks. Aaron Jones has been outstanding out of the backfield at 114/466/8. He also has a receiving line of 34/355/3. Marquez Valdez-Scantling is the top receiver at 22/420/2. Blake Marinez leads the team with 83 tackles, while Za’Darius Smith is tops with eight sacks.

As the stats indicate, the Chargers are having trouble achieving liftoff on offense. The Melvin Gordon holdout didn’t help, but Austin Ekeler did a solid job in his place. Turnovers aren’t helping matters, as Philip Rivers has thrown seven picks. The defense has been the strength of the team for the most part, but the team has found itself in numerous situations where they have been playing from behind.

Rivers has racked up 2,315 passing yards, but he has thrown for 12 TDs versus seven picks thus far. Austin Ekeler tops the team in rushing with a line of 72/251/3. He also has a receiving line of 51/507/5. Keenan Allen is the top target in the passing attack at 51/617/3. Thomas Davis is the team leader with 63 tackles, while Joey Bosa leads with seven sacks.

Recent History

Green Bay holds a substantial edge of 10-1 for all-time meetings with Los Angeles. The teams last hooked up back in 2015, a 27-20 home win for the Packers.

For the season to date, Green Bay is 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 on the Over/Under. Los Angeles is 2-4-2 ATS and 2-6 on totals.

Since the 2016 season, the Packers are 6-4 straight-up as road favorites and 5-5 ATS. The Chargers are 2-3 both outright and ATS as home underdogs over that span.

The Verdict

The Packers are playing like an elite team through the first half of the season. There’s great balance on both sides of the ball, and the offense has really perked up in recent weeks. The Chargers continue to struggle in spite of last week’s close win over the Bears.

The team just can’t seem to put it all together in 2019. Green Bay gets the win and cover for its 8th win of the season.

The Bet
GREEN BAY PACKERS -3.5
-105
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.