Packers vs Colts Spread Pick – NFL Preseason Week 3

Point Spread: Green Bay -9.0
Over/Under: 38.5

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This week the 1-1 Packers travel to Lucas Oil Stadium, where they will be greeted by the 0-2 Colts. Week three of the preseason is treated much like a regular season game, so expect the starters to play at least into the third quarter of this one.

We figure to see a lot of Curtis Painter for the Colts this week. Painter has shown himself to be very ineffective, going 8-16 with 178 yards, no touchdowns, and an interception thus far in the preseason. In fact, the entire Colts’ offense has been anemic, averaging only 6.5 points per game and amassing just 297 passing yards through two games. The Colts’ quarterbacking corps has completed only 42% of its passes thus far (22-52) and has thrown four interceptions to just one touchdown pass. The Packer defense has taken the ball away three times on interceptions through two games this preseason, while playing a very “vanilla” defense by their standards. Look for Dom Capers to dial up some pressure this week to give his guys more of a regular season feel. Expect Painter and Orlovsky to struggle (even more so than they have to this point) against the Green Bay defense.

In their first two games, the Packers are averaging 280 passing yards and 22.5 points. Since the starters will be playing into the third quarter, we get to see a lot of Aaron Rodgers, who has been on his normal preseason roll; completing 75% of his passes thus far. This bodes well for the Packers offense who will be matched up against a Colts defense which has allowed over 67% of it’s opponents’ passes to be completed. Look for the Pack to put up points early and often on the Indy defense, which had trouble stopping Sam Bradford and John Beck the last two weeks. Matt Flynn (who has only 30 less passing yards than the entire Colts’ offense) figures to be successful as well, in relief of Rodgers in the second half.

Take the Packers and give the points.

Point Spread Pick: Green Bay -9.0

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