Packers vs. Patriots NFL Pick – Week 9

The New England Patriots slept walk this past Monday night in Buffalo, yet they were still able to secure a 25-6 win over the Bills. With Derek Anderson under center for the Bills, the Patriots could have started Brian Hoyer and would have still been fine. Brady and the Pats’ offense didn’t do anything too exotic, but they have to finish drives against the good teams, which they weren’t able to do against Buffalo.

When you look at their opponents this week, the Green Bay Packers, it might make more sense as to why Josh McDaniels didn’t open the playbook up. Belichick and McDaniels may have been keeping everything close to their vest to avoid giving the Packers more tape to breakdown. With Anderson and the Bills’ offense on the other side, the defense was more than capable of winning the game on their own.

Several long drives stalled out for the Patriots, where they ultimately depended on the leg of Stephen Gostkowski. Brady didn’t throw a touchdown pass against the Bills, which is the first time it’s happened this season. It was a bit of a windy night in Buffalo as well, so that made it easier on McDaniels to keep things simple to avoid mistakes.

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers may force the Patriots’ offense to kick it up a notch this week. I am sure Brady is well aware that this is going to be a more difficult chore than having to play better than Derek Anderson. The Packers have had it tough the last two weeks. They played the Rams last week and now they must travel to Foxboro for this one. One side of the country to the other. Green Bay came close, but were ultimately defeated by a score of 29-27. Head below for our free Packers vs. Patriots pick.

Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 9 Betting Odds:

Packers +5.5(-110)
vs. Patriots -5.5(-110)

Over 56.5(-108)
Under 56.5(-112)

Betting odds provided by

Packers vs. Patriots Pick:

Despite no touchdown passes last week, Brady has been looking good with 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 67.5% completions. He still passed for 324 yards, the Pats couldn’t finish, though. Josh Gordon dropped what could have been a big play on the first drive, but there weren’t many deep shots taken by the Patriots after that. There were reports that Gordon was going to be punished by getting benched a quarter due to tardiness, but he ended up getting the start. It isn’t exactly clear whether the report was actually true or not. Gordon played the entire game and will be playing this week as well.

The Patriots are scoring 30 points per game with 382 yards per game. The Bills contest was the first game that they didn’t put up more than 30 points since the brutal Lions game. The Pats scored at least 38 points in their previous four games, with an average of 39.25 points per game. Back at home and playing against Aaron Rodgers, look for the offense to ratchet it up a notch against a Packers team who can move the ball. The Packers are 5th in the NFL with 412 yards per game.

Rodgers has been protective of the ball this season, with only 1 interception and we’ve arrived at Week 10. He’s also tossed 7 touchdowns to help the 5th best offense in the league. There are openings in the Patriots’ defense if there is a capable of quarterback attacking it. Anderson had his opportunities last week, but he missed them. Rodgers likely won’t squander the Packers’ chances against the 25th best defense. Andrew Luck, Patrick Mahomes, and Mitch Trubisky were able to move the ball on the New England defense. All three passed for over 300 yards. Everyone is tuning in to this game to watch Rodgers and Brady square off. I don’t think they’re going to be disappointed in a game that should come down to the quarterbacks. In what looks like will develop into a shootout, a play on the OVER should be considered on Sunday Night Football in Foxboro.

The Bet
OVER 56.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.