Packers vs. Seahawks TNF Pick – NFL Week 11

This week’s Thursday nighter should be a fun affair, as two teams battling for the post-season in the competitive NFC will face off in Seattle. The Seahawks are coming off of a tough loss last week to the Rams, while Green Bay enters riding some momentum having just disposed of the Dolphins. Aaron Rodgers seems healthy once again, and their offense is starting to click. There’s a reason why many pegged Green Bay to return to glory in 2018-19. For the Seahawks, Pete Carroll has his group reinvigorated and his new-look defense has been much better in recent weeks.

This should be a great matchup, which unfortunately has been rare for Thursday Night Football. And though it is still just mid-November, it will almost certainly have playoff implications for January. Read on below for full game details, a breakdown, and a betting selection to get Week 11 off to a great start.

Packers vs. Seahawks Betting Odds:

Green Bay Packers +3 (-105)
@ Seattle Seahawks -3 (-115)

Over 48.5 (-105)
Under 48.5 (-115)

Packers vs. Seahawks Pick:

For as good as Aaron Rodgers is and has been, it’s tough to repeatedly perform without having your top receivers available to you. Davante Adams will play, but Randall Cobb will not. And that’s not the best thing when the opposing defense will likely fully take away Adams through the air. Seattle’s new style of play is conducive to shootouts, and if the Packers are to engage, they might not have the horses this week.

On the ground, Green Bay has really worked quite hard at further developing their run game with Aaron Jones. He is now the lead-back in the crowded backfield, but he’s been very solid in recent weeks. This week however could be a different story as the Seahawks’ defense has stepped up their game in recent weeks, specifically with regard to the run attack. The Packers might struggle to move the chains on Thursday evening.

Russell Wilson on the other side, is playing at a very high level entering this week. And Green Bay unfortunately has some weaknesses in their secondary. Aside from talented rookie corner Jaire Alexander, the Packers have been downright porous through the air. It’s cost them games and could cost them again this evening in Seattle. Raven Greene is filling in for Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, since he was traded – and Wilson should be able to really exploit some of these easier matchups. Doug Baldwin is back and is healthy for the first time in a while, and this should give him another opportunity for a breakout performance.

Seattle has stayed within their body clock and will be welcoming the Packers to one of the NFL’s toughest atmospheres. Green Bay has been improving of late, but this is always a tough spot on a short week. Seattle would also appear to be the healthier of the two teams, and for those reasons I’ll lean to the Seahawks as short home favorites on Thursday Night Football.

My Pick
Seahawks +3
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.