Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers Pick – NFL Week 10

The late Sunday slate for Week 10 of the NFL regular season features just three games, but there’s plenty of appeal to be found in each. This one might be the most be the compelling of the trio as a pair of NFC playoff contenders square off at Lambeau Field.

The Panthers opened up the year with two straight losses. Cam Newton was put on the shelf due to injury, so there were concerns that this would turn into a lost season for the Panthers. It has been anything but that. Kyle Allen has done a solid job in relief of Newton for a Panthers team that’s alive in the playoff hunt with a record of 5-3.

Through nine games of play, the Packers have shown plenty of signs of being one of the strongest teams in the league. The offense has started to click, and the team’s investments on defense in the offseason have paid off handsomely. However, Green Bay enters this game looking to bounce back from its poorest outing of the season.

The NFC as a whole looks loaded this season. The Panthers are among the teams in the Wild Card hunt, while the Packers currently hold down the lead in the NFC North. Let’s take a closer look at what looks like one of the more intriguing games of Week 10.

Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers, 4:25 PM EST, Sun. Nov.10, FOX

Spread:

  • Carolina +5.5 (-114)
  • Green Bay -5.5 (-106)
Money line:

  • Carolina +180
  • Green Bay -210
Total Points:

  • Over 46.5 (-115)
  • Under 46.5 (-105)

Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Panthers vs. Packers Pick:

The Panthers were home on Sunday playing host to the Tennessee Titans. As 3.5-point favorites at kickoff, the hosts controlled the game right from the get go and raced out to a 17-0 lead after the first quarter. The Titans would make a game of it, but Carolina proved to be too much in the end and walked away with a 30-20 win. Christian McCaffrey found the end zone three times in the victory.

The Packers traveled to Los Angeles last week for a date with the Chargers. They entered riding a four-game winning streak and installed as 4-point favorites. The game would break in decidedly different fashion. The Chargers controlled the game and pushed Green Bay around while doing so. The end result was a 26-11 victory for the home squad in what was the poorest performance to date for the Packers.

Rec PF PA STD STK
Carolina 5-3 209 204 2-NFC South W2
Green Bay 7-2 226 189 1-NFC North L1

Carolina opened up the season in disappointing fashion with two straight losses. A close home defeat to the Los Angeles Rams was followed by another loss on the homefield to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Cam Newton went down with a foot injury, leaving Kyle Allen to take his place. He has exceeded expectations as the team has gone on to win five of six since he took over behind center.

Green Bay opened up the year on the road at the Chicago Bears. They would go on to win a low-scoring defensive slugfest. The Packers won their next two before first tasting defeat in a home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The team ripped off four wins from there and impressed mightily while doing so. The strong run came to an end with last week’s road defeat to the Chargers.

Offense

PPG PaYdF RuYdF
CAR 26.1 206.9 132.9
GB 25.1 257.1 95.3
Defense

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
25.5 227.0 133.4
21.0 255.2 127.7
Miscellaneous

SaF SaA ToM PYPG
34 26 +6 65.8
22 20 +7 74.8

There were concerns about the Panthers offense once Allen took over, but he has done a solid job. Christian McCaffrey is having an MVP-caliber season while serving in a dual-threat role. The defense has improved as the season has moved along as well. The Panthers are doing a good job with pressuring opposing signal callers. Part of their success can also be tied to a positive turnover margin of +6.

Allen has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,291 yards, nine TDs and four picks since being thrust into the starting role. McCaffrey has a rushing line of 165/881/10 and has added on 42/363/3 as a receiver. DJ Moore is the team’s leading receiver at 45/564/1. Luke Kuechly leads the team with 78 tackles, while Mario Addison is tops with 6.5 sacks.

After a slow start to the season, the Packers offense kicked it into gear over the recent four-game winning streak. That put to rest any concerns about the dynamic between new head coach Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers. The offense is balanced and potent, last week’s toe stubbing aside. The defense has been a revelation, as the team’s offseason investments are paying dividends.

Prior to the dud versus the Chargers, Rodgers delivered a pair of stellar outings. On the season, he has accounted for 18 total scores versus two picks. Aaron Jones leads the way out of the backfield at 122/496/8. He has also added on 45/354/3 as a receiver. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been the top target at 22/420/2. Blake Martinez is tops with 95 tackles, while Za’Darius Smith leads with 8.5 sacks.

Recent History

Green Bay leads the all-time series with Carolina by a margin of 9-6. The last meeting took place in 2017, a 31-24 home victory for the Panthers.

For the season to date, the Panthers are 5-3 against the spread and 6-2 on the Over/Under. The Packers are 6-3 ATS and 5-4 on totals.

Since the 2016 season, Carolina is 8-9 straight-up as a road underdog and 11-6 ATS. Green Bay is 19-5 overall as a home favorite over that span and 14-9-1 ATS.

The Verdict

This is one of the more intriguing matchups on the Week 10 slate. Two playoff contenders from the NFC should combine for a competitive game.

The Panthers showed a lot with last week’s bounce back win. They were annihilated the previous week by the 49ers, so it’s a positive sign that the team didn’t suffer a hangover.

The Packers are looking to turn the same trick this week on the homefield. The team’s performance in Los Angeles was one to forget, but a return home should inspire a turnaround.

Carolina keeps it interesting, but Green Bay pulls away in the end.

The Bet
GREEN BAY PACKERS -5.5
-106
Sub Categories:
Andrew Powell / author

Andrew Powell has been working with The Sports Geek since November 2018 providing analysis and predictions in both the realms of sports and politics. Studying journalism through the University of Michigan, Powell's experience in sports includes tenures at mainstream newspapers The Williamsport Sun-Gazette and The Lock Haven Express, and he would also be affiliated with FOX Sports Radio 1340 AM in Hopewell, Virginia. In politics, it would include a stint with Mad World News and multiple with the Republican Party. From the Super Bowl to The Kentucky Derby to President Donald Trump's hair, Powell has you covered at The Sports Geek.