Patriots Broncos Pick – NFL Week 12

The Steelers and Seahawks, and Patriots and Broncos are the two games I have most been looking forward to all week. I wish this one was being played under different circumstances. Such as, Peyton Manning was healthy going up against Tom Brady. And that Tom Brady had a healthy dose of weapons to work with in the passing game. However, I am still interested in seeing how Brock Osweiler performs against the Patriots tonight. On the road in Foxboro, forget about it, I would not be too confident in his chances. But at home in Denver, we’re going to have a good look at what he’s got. I have always liked Osweiler, dating back to his days at Arizona State. He was a good quarterback there and I’m wondering what he can bring to the NFL. Osweiler has been in the Broncos system since 2012 since being drafted. He has operated behind one of the best quarterbacks the game has ever had to offer.

I am sure Osweiler picked up on one or two things from Peyton Manning. Last week in his first start, he passed for 2 touchdowns in a 17-15 win over the Chicago Bears. He also filled in for Manning two weeks ago, totalling 3 touchdowns and 1 interception on the season in a couple games work. Osweiler has had the benefit of playing behind Manning, and now he goes up against an all-time great, Tom Brady. This would be some kind of win for him if he could upstage Tom Brady in his second ever start in the NFL. Not to mention the fact that this is on the grandest stage on Sunday Night Football. But Belichick has made life miserable on young quarterbacks in the past, especially rookies. But Osweiler is no rookie, he just hasn’t had the opportunity. Well, here is your spotlight Osweiler, beat the Patriots and become an instant star in Denver. Which begs the question, if that comes to fruition, how are the Broncos going to handle Peyton Manning? Things could get interesting. I do think this game is going to be plenty interesting. Let’s get to it and look for a winning pick.

New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds:


Patriots -3 (-110)
@Broncos +3 (-110)


Over 43 (-110)
Under 43 (-110)

Odds provided by

Patriots vs. Broncos Pick:

The Patriots are ranked 3rd in the NFL in total offense. However, without receiver Julian Edelman playing last week, you could tell that the offense just didn’t look the same. You don’t even need to look at the numbers to ascertain that. They beat the Bills 20-13 but looked frustrated doing it. Brady has 1 touchdown with 1 interception and the ground game was held to 85 yards. Edelman is the most underrated offensive player in football and I think we’re going to see why. The Denver defense is relentless. They are relentless and they are for real. You have to think how good the Broncos would be if Manning was playing like 2013 Manning. Scary thought.

The Broncos didn’t have quite the same defense back then. Today the Broncos are 1st in the NFL in defense, leading the 2nd place Seahawks by about 20 yards. Against the pass they are 1st as well, as opposing teams are averaging only 190 yards through the air. This is thanks to a pass rush which is one of the best in the NFL. The Pats have been hobbled at the offensive line position as well lately, and this is where I see the Broncos getting to the Pats. I like the defensive line of the Broncos to control this game, allowing Osweiler and the Broncos to make enough plays to keep it close and perhaps pull the upset. The Patriots are surely going to miss the presence of Edelman tonight against this defense of the Broncos.

PICK: BRONCOS +3 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.