In one of the most lopsided games of 2016, the New England Patriots take their show to California, to take on the anaemic San Francisco 49ers. Though the Niners have showed some fight with Colin Kaepernick at quarterback in recent weeks, there’s still a huge discrepancy between these squads. This is especially true when you consider the fact that the Pats will enter this game a surly bunch following a home defeat last week against the Seahawks. They’re 7-2, and solely focused on securing homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Losing on Sunday isn’t an option. For the Niners, they’re likely content to play out the season and perhaps secure the first overall pick. Still however, this is the NFL, and the beauty of games like this is the fact there are still countless betting opportunities with cash to be had. Read on below for some detailed analysis, as well as a betting selection for the Pats and Niners.
Patriots vs. 49ers Betting Odds:
New England Patriots -11.5 (-110)
@ San Francisco 49ers +11.5 (-110)
Over 51 (-110)
Under 51 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Patriots vs. 49ers Pick:
Even without Rob Gronkowski playing in this one, I don’t think the Pats are all that concerned about the outcome to this game. New England’s offence remains on another level right now and should be able to once again dominate a hapless 49ers’ defence on Sunday afternoon. San Francisco has a brutal pass rush, and Brady will have all kinds of time and space in the pocket to pick apart their lowly secondary. With Gronk out, look for the other big tight end on New England, Martellus Bennett, to have a very solid outing. As good as Brady has been, his running back LeGarrette Blount has likely exceeded him in recent weeks. Blount has been running like a man possessed, and the big back is in line for yet another monster performance in Week 11. Everybody knows just how historically awful the 49ers’ run defence is, and Blount will prove it impossible to be brought down. The Pats will move the chains at will, and should be able to put up at least 30 points on this defence.
The Pats big weakness has to be their pass rush. Much like their opponents in Week 11, they too don’t have a real pass rush. This will work in the favour of San Fran’s offence and Colin Kaepernick. New England didn’t have a great defensive showing last week, and the Niners do have some skill players. Kaepernick has been decent since taking over the starting role and has the ability in a nothing game to really do some damage with his legs. Carlos Hyde is back and healthy once again. He remains a competent back and will be able to keep the chains moving.
Expect the Pats to get up big in this one and then fully take their foot off the pedal. Brady and the starters could even be removed from the game by the time the fourth quarter rolls around – that would not surprise me one bit. San Francisco showed a lot of fight last week against the Cardinals and really they won’t just bow down to the Pats. They have the ability to score and should be able to put up some points in garbage time on Sunday. Especially at home, they’ll try their best to be competitive. Whether that means covering a double-digit spread or not, remains to be seen, but I believe this will be a high-scoring affair. Both teams have the ability to score, and expect a wide-open contest with this game sailing over the total.
PICK = Over 51 (-110)