gravatar

Patriots vs. Bills Pick – NFL Week 13

The Buffalo Bills look to extend the good vibes into Week 13 after dispatching the Kansas City Chiefs on the road. The Bills responded nicely with a 16-10 win following an embarrassing outing against the Chargers. It was a gutless performance from the Chiefs, who look like a lost puppy in the park. Such a superb start to the year for them has gone into the toilet. The Bills advanced to 6-5 and are alive in the wildcard hunt. If you watched that disaster against the Chargers, it has to be surprising to think that they are still in-play for the postseason.

The Bills have an uncanny ability to screw these kind of seasons up, so don’t hold your breath in Buffalo. Sean McDermott has to be feeling a sense of relief at the moment. His decision to go with Nathan Peterman was head turning, and got the attention of other players in the NFL as well. Richard Sherman made it clear on twitter that it was a ridiculous move, echoing what everyone else thought.

The move could have torn the locker room a part. However, they rose up on the road, and added to the Chiefs’ frustrations last week. Buffalo get an uptick in competition this week, as the New England Patriots make the trek to Orchard Park. The Patriots are coming off a relatively easy win over the Dolphins, 35-17. One of the only miscues the Pats had in that one was off a botched snap to Tom Brady, which resulted in a touchdown for the Dolphins. Take them anyway you can get them, and the Dolphins were fortunate enough to get the gimme touchdown, enough to make the score look more respectable. The Patriots still managed to cover the big line of -16.5, though.

Brady passed for 227 yards and 4 touchdowns with an interception. It brings his numbers to a whopping 26 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the year. He also holds a 68.4% completion percentage. Those look like the kind of stats you would find from a college quarterback who pad stats against creampuff defenses. Brady isn’t padding stats here. Even at 40, Tom Brady continues to deliver at an elite level. The Patriots have also gotten a massive push from their defense. Since October the Pats’ defense has been on fire, as Belichick and Matt Patricia have figured it out and then some. We’ll see how Tyrod Taylor and the Bills handle the defense on Sunday afternoon. Get our free Patriots vs. Bills pick below.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds:

Spread:
Patriots -8.5(-110)
vs. Bills +8.5(-110)

Total:
Over 48(-110)
Under 48(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Patriots vs. Bills Pick:

The Bills will have to catch the Patriots off-guard and get some breaks to go their way to pull the upset. The Patriots are vastly superior to the Bills. However, the Bills have played spoiler before on the Pats. Last season, in fact, Buffalo beat the Patriots by a score of 16-0. Shutting out the Patriots is unheard of. Nonetheless, the Patriots showed who the better team was in their next meeting, a 41-25 win. Of course, they went on to win the Super Bowl as well, so that 16-0 did nothing but motivate them some more. The Chiefs were unable to exploit a weak Bills’ secondary, but there might be a guy I know who can.

The Bills are 22nd against the pass, allowing an average of 240.9 passing yards per game. They should be healthy in the secondary, though. Offensively they’re going to be banged up again. Kelvin Benjamin has been ruled out, along with offensive lineman Cordy Glenn and Mike Tolbert. They were able to get starts out of Jordan Matthews and Charles Clay last week, certainly critical weapons for Tyrod Taylor. Taylor has passed for 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s also rushed for 302 yards and 3 touchdowns. Taylor’s greatest asset is his mobility and lives off rolling out of the pocket. He will get a stingy test against the Patriots’ defense on Sunday, though.

The Pats have allowed just 10.6 points per game in their last seven games. That includes some elite performances against good offenses, too. The Chargers, Falcons, and Raiders were held in check for an average of 9.3 points per game. This is all without linebacker Dont’a Hightower. Don’t be surprised if Matt Patricia catches some attention in head coaching searches for some teams in the offseason.

The offense has been playing at an elite level, too. During those seven games, the Pats scored 28 points per game. They’ve scored 30 points per game on the road in 2017. Overall, they’re 1st with 411.2 yards per game on offense. Chris Hogan will be out again, but New England are finding ways to use Rex Burkhead in creative ways. Look for another big game from Brandin Cooks against a shaky secondary. The Bills thrive off turnovers and playing the field position game. However, the Pats have been 1st in fewest turnovers across the last three years. The Bills’ roller coaster heads down the hill in Orchard Park on Sunday. The Patriots get a 34-20 win to give them their 10th win of the year.

PICK: PATRIOTS -8.5 (-110)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *