Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars – NFL Week 11

Pittsburgh (9-0) at Jacksonville (1-8)

Series

The Steelers and Jaguars have each won 12 in the series as the Steelers have won four out of the last five games. However in 2018, Jacksonville outgunned Pittsburgh, 45-42, in the NFL playoffs.

Streaks

Pittsburgh has mastered a 9-0 start which is the best in Steelers history. Jacksonville has lost eight in a row, but the last two losses to the Texans and Packers have been by two and four points. JuJu Smith-Schuster looks for his third game in a row with at least six catches, 75 yards and a touchdown. The Steelers have opened the road portion of their schedule with four straight wins for the fifth time in team history.

Vs. The Spread

Jacksonville is 4-5 ATS while the Steelers are at a healthy 7-2. The Steelers check in at 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games against the Jaguars, but they are 5-1 SU in their last six games in Jacksonville. The total has gone UNDER in four of the Jaguars last five games against the Steelers. Jacksonville is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 games against the AFC North.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Steelers -10 (-110) -450 O 47.5 (-110)
Jaguars +10 (-110) +360 U 47.5 (-110)

Last week

Pittsburgh had little trouble in it’s 36-10 disposal of the Cincinnati Bengals. Ben Roethlisberger completed 27 of 46 passes for 333 yards and four touchdowns as rookie Chase Claypool grabbed two of those. Diontae Johnson netted six catches for 116 yards and a score.

Jacksonville kept Green Bay engaged before falling 24-20 at Lambeau Field. Keelan Cole scored twice as the first was on a 91-yard punt return that gave Jacksonville an early 10-7 lead.

When Steelers Has the Ball

Pittsburgh Steelers LogoBen Roethlisberger set season highs in yardage (333) and touchdown passes (4) last week as he has been consistent all season in running the offense and finding receivers. That shouldn’t be a problem this week against a Jaguars defense that gives up 283 yards through the air per game and has a non-existent pass rush with only nine sacks while picking off seven passes.

Roethlisberger has spread the ball out well as JuJu Smith-Schuster leads with 54 pass receptions for 516 yards. Chase Claypool leads with seven touchdown catches while Diontae Johnson has been targeted 65 times, but only has 37 catches. Pittsburgh only averages 10.1 yards per catch, but their ability to get down the middle of the field on safeties Daniel Thomas and Jarrod Wilson should yield hefty results.

When Jaguars Has the Ball

Jacksonville Jaguars LogoUnfortunately for the Jaguars, quarterback Gardiner Minshew is out once again on Sunday which leaves the ball in the hands of rookie Jake Luton. He had a good opener in the loss to the Texans as he threw for 304 yards and then completed only 51.4 percent of his passes along with 189 yards in the loss to the Packers. Obviously, there was tape on Luton after his first game and he was minimized by the Packers.

The Steelers’ run-stop has been solid in allowing an average of 107 yards per game, so they likely will stop Jags’ rookie Jeff Robinson and make Luton have to beat them with his arm. The Steelers have already sacked opposing quarterbacks 36 times, with T.J. Watt tallying nine. The run defense will get well Sunday after giving up 409 yards rushing.

NFL Betting Predictions

Winner: Pittsburgh (-10) 31, Jacksonville 10
Over-Under: Take Under 47.5

The Bets
Pittsburgh Steelers -10
-110
Under 47.5
-110
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.