Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick – NFL Week 14

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings square up at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minnesota. The Steelers are coming off a potentially season-saving win over the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 20-19.

Baltimore went for a 2-point conversion to win the game and avoid overtime. However, Lamar Jackson put the ball just out of the reach of Mark Andrews, and the Steelers held on for a huge win to get to 6-5-1 on the year.

People were criticizing John Harbaugh for the decision to go for it, but it was an easy choice for him. He was running out of defensive backs, and didn’t want to go into overtime without a secondary.

If Lamar completes the pass to Andrews, we’re not having this discussion. The Steelers are in the middle of a wild playoff race in the AFC.

There are so many mediocre teams in the NFL this season that it’s leaving the door open for several teams going into Week 14 around .500.

Ben Roethlisberger has indicated that this will be his final year in Pittsburgh. Big Ben didn’t say that he’s retiring, just that it will be his last season with the Steelers.

He’s a 39-year-old that debated retiring a few years ago, so no surprise if he doesn’t entertain offers from other teams. There must be some motivation within the Steelers to get Roethlisberger to the playoffs.

They take on a Vikings team coming off a humiliating loss in Detroit. The Vikings were walked off on a 11-yard touchdown pass from Jared Goff to Amon-Ra St. Brown.

St. Brown was able to get deep enough to squat in the end zone. Even he was surprised how far off the ball the Vikings were playing.

The Vikings need a win in Week 14 or risk falling out of the postseason race at 5-8. We know that the Vikings can win big games, as they did three games back against the Green Bay Packers, 34-31.

Back home for the first time since that win, we’ll see if the Vikings get things together versus the Steelers. Head below for our free Steelers vs. Vikings pick on December 9, 2021.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (+100) +150 Over 43.5 (-110)
Minnesota Vikings -3 (-120) -170 Under 43.5 (-110)
Team Data Pittsburgh Steelers Minnesota Vikings
Overall Record 6-5-1 5-7
ATS Record 5-7-0 6-6-0
Away/Home Record 2-3 3-2
ATS Away/Home 3-2-0 2-3-0
Points Per Game 15.7 27.2
Points Against Per Game 20.3 25.7
Passing Yards Per Game 238.3 271.7
Rushing Yards Per Game 86.9 113.3

Steelers vs. Vikings Prediction:

Kirk Cousins might be the most misunderstood quarterback in the NFL. For a guy that gets criticized as much as he does, Cousins is doing pretty good with 3,353 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions.

The problem with Cousins is that he tends to disappear when the Vikings need him the most. That wasn’t the case in their last game at home, though. Cousins went punch for punch with Aaron Rodgers and ended up getting the win at 34-31.

He passed for 341 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions in the win. Since October 17, Cousins has passed for 15 touchdowns and 1 interception. There are a lot of other quarterbacks in the NFL that I would pass on before Cousins.

It looks like Cousins and the Vikings will luck out and avoid Joe Haden on Thursday night. He’s nearing a return to the field, but is likely going to be out another week since an injury on November 14 against the Lions.

The Steelers’ defense hasn’t been a Steel Curtain by any means. They showed up against the Ravens, though it was expected versus a rival at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is 22nd in the league with a pedestrian 364.1 yards allowed per game.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends:


  • 0-5 ATS in their previous five games after covering the spread
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 0-5 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 2-7 ATS in their previous nine games in December
  • 0-6 ATS in their previous six games versus the NFC


  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games versus the AFC North
  • 42-19 ATS in their previous 61 games after a loss
  • 7-3 ATS in their previous ten games in Week 14
  • 6-13 ATS in their previous 19 games
  • OVER is 7-1 in their previous eight games after failing to cover the spread

The x-factor for the Vikings in this one should be Alexander Mattison in the backfield. Mattison is running well and makes the loss of Dalvin Cook tolerable.

Mattison has been taking advantage of the opportunity, as he’s gained 405 yards and 2 touchdowns on 3.7 yards per carry. He’s coming off a quality game with 90 yards and a touchdown on 4.1 yards a carry.

As a receiver, Mattison chipped in with 3 receptions and 34 yards. The Steelers have had a problem at inside linebacker this season, and it’s led to offenses running for an average of 130.9 yards per game on them.

Pittsburgh is 27th against the run and 14th against the pass. They take on a well-balanced Minnesota offense that has put up 384.9 yards per game for sixth in the NFL.

Back home after a disastrous couple of weeks on the road, expect the Vikings to show up well in this one. The Vikings don’t have the best defense, they’ve allowed 25.4 points per game, but the Steelers’ offense isn’t scaring anyone.

The Steelers don’t have a run game, with just 86.8 yards per game for 29th in the NFL. They are worse on the road at less than 80 yards a game. Overall, the Steelers have scored just 20.2 points per game this season.

Following a big win at home over a rival, don’t look for the Steelers to be too excited for this one in Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Vikings are coming off a bad loss in Detroit. I’m pointing towards the Vikings to win by a touchdown.


Steelers vs. Vikings Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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