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Raiders vs. Chiefs Pick – NFL Week 14

The Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time this season, as the Chiefs hope to turn things around. The season turned into dog urine for the Chiefs shortly after that game. If you recall, it was a Thursday nighter with a crazy ending. The Raiders looked like they won on a deep pass, but they were ruled down at the 1.

After a couple of Chiefs’ penalties to give the Raiders’ mulligans, the Raiders paid it off with a 2-yard connection between Derek Carr and Michael Crabtree. Oakland hit the XP and won a nail biter of a matchup, 31-30. Going into that game, the Chiefs were 5-1 on the season. They were coming off their first loss of the season against the Steelers. Since losing to the Steelers, the Chiefs have gone 1-5.

In other words, the Chiefs have managed to win just one since the Chiefs and Raiders played on October 19th. It’s been a train wreck for the Chiefs. The highlight of their year was in Week 1, a huge upset over the Patriots in Foxborough. You take that into consideration, and their perfect 5-0 start, no one expected them to dive this much. They’re like a stock that was flying up, and then it crashes and burns out of the blue. We’ll see they can find a win against their rival at home. This is an extremely important game in the standings. We shouldn’t be talking about 6-6 teams vying for a division, but the Chiefs have left the door open.

As it stands now in the AFC West, the Raiders, Chiefs, and Chargers are all tied at 6-6. It’s there for the taking, and the Chiefs have only themselves to blame for this tie. In any case, after all of this, the Chiefs can still win the division. There aren’t many teams who can say they can go 1-6 in seven games and still have a viable chance of winning their division.

The optimist of Chief fans will tell you that. It’s hard to be positive over the Chiefs at the moment, though. The loss of Eric Berry really stung. His loss didn’t impact much early on, but teams are beginning to exploit that hole in their secondary. The Chiefs will be down another member of their secondary on Sunday, as Marcus Peters was suspended for throwing an officials’ flag into the stands. They didn’t need any more losses going into this critical matchup against Derek Carr and the Raiders. Let’s get to our Raiders vs. Chiefs pick below.

Oakland Raiders vs. K.C. Chiefs Betting Odds:

Spread:
Raiders +4(-110)
vs. Chiefs -4(-110)

Total:
Over 48.5(-110)
Under 48.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Raiders vs. Chiefs Pick:

The Raiders were thing at receiver last week, as they faced the Giants down Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper. They got lucky that they drew the Giants in a week that Carr was left without his two favorite targets. The Raiders faired considerably well, but there were some drops and situations where you knew the result of the play would have looked differently with at least one of them in the lineup.

Carr still passed for 287 yards and a touchdown despite no Crabtree or Cooper. They will be getting Crabtree back, with Cooper’s status still up in the air. Just one of them back will be a much better Oakland offense. Cordarrelle Patterson is listed as questionable, but has been practicing on a limited basis this week. Cooper got back on the field Friday, but there is a big question mark over his head. I would be surprised to see him getting the start.

The Chiefs’ have been giving up big chunks of yards through the air. They have fell to 28th in the NFL, allowing an average of 252.8 yards per game. The loss of Eric Berry has shown its ugly head, and now they’ll be without their top corner, Marcus Peters on Sunday. They are coming off a game where they allowed 38 points to the Jets. Josh McCown, with his limited receiving core, passed for 331 yards and a touchdown on them. I don’t believe the absence of Cooper will hinder Carr too much against this depleted secondary. In their last meeting, he torched them for 417 yards and 3 touchdowns.

The Oakland defense has looked great the last two weeks. The problem with that is it was against the two worst offenses in the NFL, the Broncos and Giants. Those two games help their defensive numbers out a bit. However, before the Broncos game, the Raiders gave up 30.25 points per game in their previous four. Alex Smith passed for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns.

There won’t be 759 yards combined for in the air between Smith and Carr in the rematch. But I do believe points will be scored again. On top of no Eric Berry and Marcus Peters, safety Eric Murray has been ruled out already. Look for Derek Carr to have fun against this secondary. For Oakland, look for their defense to come back down to earth after playing a couple of offenses who couldn’t move the ball on a high school team. Geno Smith played a bit better than expected, and I think it was a reflection of the Raiders’ defense more than anything. They are 23rd against the pass, and that’s with the aid of the Broncos and Giants skewing their numbers down. A 28-24 or 27-24 looks good.

PICK: OVER 48.5 (-110)

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