Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers Pick – NFL Week 7 – Sunday, October 20

The early Sunday afternoon slate for Week 7 of the NFL regular season includes eight games, each with their own level of intrigue. Our attention is drawn to an interconference battle between a pair of squads riding two-game winning streaks.

The Oakland Raiders will head to Lambeau Field for a date with the Green Bay Packers. The Raiders had last week off after handling business versus the Chicago Bears in London. Last time out, the Packers escaped with a 1-point home win over the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football.

Entering the season, the Packers were expected to contend for the NFC North crown. The Raiders were expected to perhaps take some baby steps forward, but they have actually done more than that through five games.

It’s an interesting tilt between two clubs that are playing well, and the end result should be a competitive affair. Let’s take a detailed look at the matchup, starting with the game lines.

Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers, 1 PM EST, Sun. Oct.20, CBS

Spread:

  • Oakland +5.5 (-114)
  • Green Bay -5.5 (-106)
Money line:

  • Oakland +205
  • Green Bay -245
Total Points:

  • Over 46.5 (-120)
  • Under 46.5 (+100)

Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Raiders vs. Packers Pick:

The Raiders were last in action in Week 5 for a London game versus the Bears. Oakland went across the pond early in the week, and that proved to be a wise move. They were 6.5-point underdogs at kickoff, but the team had some other ideas on how the game would play out. After holding a 17-0 lead at the half, the club fended off a Bears rally and hung on for a 24-21 win.

The Packers were home this past Monday for a visit from the Lions. Green Bay was installed as a 3.5-point favorite, but the visitors managed to jump out to a 13-0 lead. The Packers rallied to close the gap, and they would prevail after a competitive second half by a score of 23-22. The game was marred by a number of questionable calls, but the bottom line is Green Bay came back after being down big.

Rec. PF PA STD STK
Oakland 3-2 103 123 2-AFC West W2
Green Bay 5-1 142 115 1-NFC North W2

Oakland opened up the year with a home win over the Denver Broncos, but it was downhill from there. The club lost its next two games by double digits, and it started to look like it was going to be a long season. The switch was flipped with a road win over the Colts, followed by the neutral site victory over the Bears. At 3-2, the Raiders went into the bye on a high note.

Green Bay kicked off the season with a road victory over the Bears in a low-scoring, defensive minded affair. Two home victories followed, but the team would come up short in a Week 4 Thursday night home affair versus the Philadelphia Eagles. Since the lone blemish, the Packers have bounced back to win two in a row, including a convincing road victory over the Dallas Cowboys.

Offense

PPG PaYdF RuYdF
OAK 20.6 213.8 134.4
GB 23.7 249.7 105.8
Defense

PtsAll PaYdA RuYdA
24.6 263.6 92.0
19.2 239.3 124.5
Miscellaneous

SaF SaA ToM PYPG
9 8 -1 69.4
18 11 +4 55.8

The Raiders couldn’t get out of their own way in two losses, posting a total of 24 points. The team has clicked much better in the three wins, scoring 24 or more in each of them. It’s a similar story on defense: good performances in the victories, but poor showings in the defeats. The team’s rushing attack has been a pleasant surprise, while defending against the run has been a strength on the other side.

Derek Carr has looked better this season than he did last year. He has thrown for six TDs versus three picks thus far. Rookie Josh Jacobs is doing a solid job to lead the backfield at 88/430/4. Darren Waller has been the top target in the passing attack with a line of 37/359/0. Tahir Whitehead leads the team with 31 tackles, while Benson Mayowa is tops with 4.5 sacks.

Entering the season, there were numerous attempts to make some kind of storyline out of the dynamic between new head coach Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers. Let’s just say they’re doing fine. The offense has shown great balance in comparison to recent years, and the results are quite evident. Green Bay made shoring up the defense a priority in the offseason, and it was money very well spent.

The balanced approach on offense has somewhat muted the numbers for Rodgers, but he’s still off to a fine start with eight scores versus two INTs. Aaron Jones is the team’s leading rusher at 89/349/8. Davante Adams leads the receivers with a line of 25/378/0. He was out last week. Blake Martinez is tops on the team with 61 tackles, while Preston Smith leads with seven sacks.

Recent History

Green Bay leads the all-time series over Oakland by a margin of 8-5. The last meeting took place in 2015 with the Packers picking up a 30-20 road win.

For the season to date, Green Bay is 4-2 against the spread and 3-3 on totals. Oakland is 3-2 both ATS and on the Over/Under.

Since the 2016 season, the Raiders are 7-15 overall as road underdogs and 9-13 ATS. The Packers are 18-5 straight-up as home favorites over that span and 13-9-1 ATS.

The Verdict

Oakland enters this contest rested and off of a big win over in London. For a team that dealt with a ton of drama in the preseason, they have managed to get it together. While still early in the season, it’s not out of the question for the team to be in the Wild Card mix.

Through six weeks, Green Bay is one of the top teams in the NFC. There’s great balance on both sides of the ball, but the star of the show has been the defense. Free agent signees Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith have acclimated themselves incredibly well and transformed the unit.

The Packers are big home favorites, but they’re dealing with a banged up receiving corps. Add in an extra week of prep for a Raiders team which entered the bye playing well, and this one should be close. Green Bay gets the home win, but Oakland covers.

My Pick
OAKLAND RAIDERS +5.5
-114
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.