Raiders vs. Texans NFL Pick – Week 8

The Houston Texans play host to the Oakland Raiders at NRG Stadium in Week 8 on Sunday afternoon. The Texans look to advance to 5-3 on the season, which would match the Colts’ 5 wins or cause them to be the only team in the AFC South with 5 wins on the season. Keep in mind that the Texans haven’t had their bye week yet, so they have played an extra game than the Colts. In any event, expect this race in the AFC South to come down to the final couple weeks of the regular season.

The Colts and Texans are likely going to be tied at the hip until late in the year. Jacksonville and Tennessee are still hanging around with records of 3-4 going into this week, so the division is still open for business. The Texans are coming off a 30-23 loss to the Colts to set them back. It was an entertaining game at Lucas Oil Stadium, with Deshaun Watson getting outdueled by Jacoby Brissett.

Watson didn’t have a stellar performance out in Indianapolis, as he was picked off twice and threw 1 touchdown for a less than desirable afternoon on the road. The run game had some tough sledding, with Carlos Hyde leading the team with just 35 yards on the ground. He didn’t have much help in that one. Nevertheless, his overall body of work has been effective this season. Watson has thrown 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on an impressive 69.4% completion rate, while rushing for 196 yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

They welcome an Oakland team who are coming off a loss as well. The Raiders were losers by a score of 42-24 at Lambeau Field. Aaron Rodgers diced them up for 429 yards and 5 touchdowns. The Raiders’ defense will be tested again on back-to-back road outings. They’re 2nd in a division that features the Chiefs and then everyone else. The Broncos and Chargers are irrelevant, while the Raiders aren’t threatening the Chiefs. Head below for our free Raiders vs. Texans pick.

Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 8 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Raiders +6.5(-105)
  • Texans -6.5(-115)

Total:

  • Over 52(-110)
  • Under 52(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Raiders vs. Texans Pick:

Watson has been a different quarterback at home than on the road. He hasn’t turned the ball over yet, as he’s thrown 5 touchdowns and no interceptions this season. His QB rating stands at 109.3 as opposed to a 100.5 as a visiting QB on the road. Following an up and down performance against the Colts on the road, expect Watson to have a bounce-back performance against this Raiders’ defense. They’ve been struggling and it’s likely going to be a struggle in Houston on Sunday.

The Raiders are 23rd in the NFL with 376.5 yards allowed per game. Oakland have been getting absolutely abused across the air, leaving Watson with a nice opportunity to rack up some impressive numbers in this matchup. The visitors have surrendered an average of 289.9 yards per game, which has the Raiders 31st in the league against the pass. There’s only one other team in the NFL who’ve allowed more passing yards per game than the Raiders. They have also yielded 27.5 points per game.

It’s been worst on the road for the Raiders’ defense. The defense has given up 33.3 points per game in that regard. This should be a big day for the Houston offense. The question will come down to whether the Texans’ defense comes up with enough stops against Derek Carr and the Raiders offense. Other than the Falcons game, where Houston were playing prevent D with a huge lead, the Texans’ defense has performed well at home.

The Texans have allowed 20 points per game at home. They were impressive against the Jaguars and Panthers, though the Falcons got to them for 32 points. Again, though, the Texans went into prevent D with their offense flying around the field. The Texans scored 53 points in that one, so the defense was not needed. Carr and the offense will likely convert a play here and there, but not enough to keep up with Watson and the Texans. The Texans likely overpower the Raiders at home to pull away in the 4th for the win and cover.

The Bet
TEXANS -6.5
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.