Rams vs. Vikings TNF Pick – NFL Week 4

Another winning week of NFL action has up revved up for the Thursday night contest in Week 4 as the Minnesota Vikings look to rebound from last week’s loss as they take on the red-hot Los Angeles Rams.

The Vikings looked brutal last week as they suffered a monumental upset loss at home to the lowly Buffalo Bills. It was simply one of those weeks for Minnesota where nothing went right, and now they’ll be forced to rebound on very short notice against one of the NFL’s best teams in the Rams.

Los Angeles enters tonight’s contest with a flawless 3-0 record and can easily make a case for them being the NFL’s top team right now. Sean McVay has his players performing on both sides of the ball, and despite the Rams facing some injuries and a tough Vikings squad – you get the sense that this is a team with the Super Bowl on its mind.

Read on below for what promises to be a great Thursday night affair. This could very well be a preview of the NFC Championship game in January, so be sure to tune in. As always, keep reading for a betting analysis and an official selection for the Vikes/Rams.

Vikings vs. Rams Betting Odds:

Minnesota Vikings +7 (+100)
@ Los Angeles Rams -7 (-120)

Over 48.5 (-110)
Under 48.5 (-110)

Vikings vs. Rams Pick:

All week I was fixated on playing the Rams, but I feel this line is now severely inflated as a result of the Vikings loss last week to the Bills. The NFL is known for vast line overreactions and a key to handicapping is not falling into these traps. At the outset of my handicapping, I didn’t like a Vikings team that had to travel across the country on short rest, through multiple time zones – to take on a hungry Rams squad. However, this number has just ballooned far too high and after being given a key number of 7 – the Vikings now emerge as an intriguing bet.

Minnesota possesses an elite defense and one that should rebound nicely this week. They’ll be up for the task of stopping Goff and Gurley and should be able to generate some significant pressure as well. The Vikings are also stellar in their secondary and some of Goff’s key receiver targets could be blanketed downfield. As a result, a lot will be on Todd Gurley’s plate against Minnesota to keep the chains moving. L.A. has yet to face a defense of this calibre, and their free-scoring ways will likely come to a halt on Thursday.

On the other side of the ball, look for tonight to be much different for a potent Vikings’ attack. Without Marcus Peters of Aqib Talib, the Rams are suddenly quite thin within their secondary. Kirk Cousins will bounce back and should be able to have plenty of time and space in the pocket to find his talented duo of receivers – Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen.

Dalvin Cook might not play for Minnesota, but Latavius Murray remains a capable back that should find some holes. The Rams do also possess a relatively weak linebacking corps, and there will be space for big breaks from the Vikes’ running backs.

This line has gotten out of control, as referenced above. When betting sports, it’s important to have thresholds for both sides as it’s important to play the right numbers and not just the right teams. While this is a tough spot for Minnesota, the Vikings getting a full touchdown against a team with severe injury concerns seems to be a good betting spot. The Vikes are much better than they showed last week and will do everything to rebound here in what should be a big ‘measuring stick’ game for them. Minnesota’s defense will keep things close and allow them to hang around in this one.

PICK = Vikings +7 (+100)


Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.