God bless the Carolina Panthers this year, because they need some love from someone. They ended RB DeAngelo Williams season last week and announced Brian St. Pierre as their starting QB. Who is Brian St. Pierre you ask? He’s a former 5th round draft pick by the Pittsburgh Steelers that’s bounced around the league. He’s spent the last 18 months out of football raising his new born son, and he’s thrown a whopping 5 passes in his NFL career. Who’re the Baltimore Ravens defense you ask? Oh just perhaps one of the most feared defenses in all of football over the last decade, with the likes of Ray Lewis and Ed Reed leading the charge. Like I said, god bless the Carolina Panthers.
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The Panthers have been one of the most disappointing teams all year. They had high hopes for Matt Moore, and figured if he at least didn’t work out then they could give Jimmy Clausen a go and mould him into their franchise of the future. Moore was bad, and Clausen hasn’t panned out just yet. But at least they’ve still got their running back tandem of Williams and Jonathan Stewart, well not exactly. Stewart has averaged less than 3 yards per carry and Williams has been placed on season ending I.R. They’ve got Mike Woodson carrying the load, and John Fox might be better off walking away at the end of the year and save himself getting fired.
The Ravens have been up and down. They’ve looked good against the Jets, Steelers and Dolphins, and when they’re on they are one of the best teams in the AFC. But when they’re not playing well, it’s a mystery as to why. They lost to the Bengals earlier in the year and almost lost to the Bills at home as a double digit favorite in week 7. There’s no doubt that they’ll come away with the win this week, or at least they should if they want to keep pace with NE and Pitt, but the spread is big and Carolina are actually a better team when they’re double digit underdogs.
Ravens vs. Panthers Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Baltimore Ravens -11
@ Carolina Panthers +11
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Ravens vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 11 Betting:
Spread Prediction (Top Play): For all the Panthers woes this season, their pass defense is one of the better units in the league. They rank 5th in passing yards allowed, giving up under 2oo yards a game, but they’ve gotten no help from their offense, ranking dead last in points, yards and passing yards. The Ravens are getting an extra 3 days of preparation having played the Falcons last Thursday, and I can’t justify taken Carolina to cover this spread. At home this year Carolina’s point totals have been 7, 7, 6, 23, and 3. The 23 points came after a bye against the Niners, their only win of the season. Also, the Ravens are 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Game Total Prediction: The under is low in this game because of Carolina’s inabilities to score, and also because of their ability to stop teams from scoring at home. In 4 home losses this year the under is 4-0, which includes games vs. solid offenses (TB, CINCI, NO). The Ravens are hardly lights out on offense. Joe Flacco is just average and the Ravens running game isn’t at the same level as last year. Even though the number is low, I like the Under. The Under is 5-1 in the Panthers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.