Baltimore Ravens vs. K.C. Chiefs NFL Week 14 Betting Odds:
vs. Chiefs -6.5(-115)
Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag
Ravens vs. Chiefs Pick:
The quarterback matchup in this game looks like it would have been a dream in college. Lamar Jackson against Patrick Mahomes would produce a total in the high 80’s if this were Louisville vs. Texas Tech. Considering how bad that Texas Tech defense was, it’d probably flirt with 90. Mahomes has had to deal with another bad defense in the NFL, but at least they can make a tackle here and there.
Despite the monster numbers he put up in college, he never found success with the Red Raiders because of the bad defense. Will Mahomes fall victim to being on a team with a bad defense again? I expect the Chiefs to address their defensive concerns for the future, so he will likely have some help coming in that respect. However, it’s unlikely to happen for this run in 2018.
The Chiefs’ defense has allowed 417 yards allowed per game for 31st in the league. They are last against the pass by a long shot, with 295 yards allowed per game. That’s going to be the opening for the Ravens. If Jackson can get into a rhythm, the Ravens are going to have a chance at the upset.
It’s been a very beatable defense, and with Jackson getting more comfortable in the offense, there will be opportunities for the Ravens to put up points. His ability to run makes it a tricky offense to prepare for, especially a bad defense. He has already rushed for 404 yards and 3 touchdowns, and only been the starter for three weeks.
The Ravens have allowed only 194.4 passing yards per game. They’ve also shown the ability to stop the run, with just 87.2 yards allowed per game. It isn’t like this is the 2000 Ravens, though. The Panthers scored 36 points on them in Carolina this season. They haven’t seen an offense quite as dynamic as the Chiefs, too.
KC have racked up 37 points per game, 1st in the NFL. That’s cancelled out the 27.2 points per game surrendered in 2018. If this were a decade ago, I’d have my money on defense over offense. However, the league is built for teams like the Chiefs to light up the scoreboard. It won’t be as easy as they’ve found in prior games, but expect Mahomes not to be bothered at Arrowhead. Baltimore will get stops, just not enough to keep the Chiefs’ offense limited. I think we will likely see enough points on the board to put this one OVER the total.