Ravens vs. Chiefs NFL Pick – Week 3

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs meet for what should be a thrilling showdown at Arrowhead Stadium. Two of the best in the AFC will go to battle on Sunday afternoon. Looking at the schedule, this has the makings of the Game of the Week. The Sunday nighter could make out to be a good game, but the Ravens and Chiefs look like must watch TV. All the Chiefs needed was 1 quarter to score all of the points they needed to win last week.

The Chiefs scored 28 points in the 2nd quarter and didn’t record a point in any other quarter. They had a couple of chances in the second-half, but Patrick Mahomes fumbled in the red zone in the most glaring example. The extra points weren’t needed, though, as the Raiders’ offense was silent. KC went on for a 28-10 win to advance to 2-0 on the season. They were winners by a score of 40-26 in Week 1 over the Jaguars.

It has been a predictable start to the season for the Chiefs. They look ready to go back to the AFC Championship again and compete to go to the Super Bowl. The defense has played better in two weeks, but we’re only at Week 3 and last week wasn’t any form of a test. Despite the win in Week 1, the Raiders are going to struggle to find offense throughout the season. So, that certainly played a part in the Raiders struggling to score. The Chiefs are not going to have that luxury against the Ravens on Sunday afternoon.

The ever so dynamic Lamar Jackson and the Raves are going to throw a lot at the Chiefs. KC have played the Jags and Raiders, so they have not played an offense in the same ballpark. We’re going to find out a lot about the Chiefs’ offense this week. If they struggle to contain the Ravens, it’s within reason that the Patriots are going to be able to dice them up again.

Everyone is well aware of Mahomes and the KC offense, that isn’t the issue. But if they want a Super Bowl, the defense will have to improve from last season. We will have some answers on Sunday afternoon. Head below for our free Ravens vs. Chiefs pick in Week 3 of the NFL.

Baltimore Ravens vs. K.C. Chiefs NFL Week 3 Betting Odds:


  • Ravens +6(-115)
  • Chiefs -6(-110)


  • Over 52.5(-110)
  • Under 52.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Ravens vs. Chiefs Pick:

Between Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, this is going to be an exciting game. They’re both going to get their yards and exciting plans in. The Chiefs may have scored just 28 points last week, all in the 2nd quarter, but they could have scored more. Mahomes was careless in the red zone after the Chiefs were marching with a 28-10 lead in the second-half.

That said, the Chiefs’ offense changed in the 4th quarter, they were just trying to move the ball and kill clock. With Lamar Jackson on the other side in this one, I don’t think the Chiefs will be able to put the game on cruise control after just 2 quarters of play.

Jackson has passed for 596 yards with 7 touchdowns and no interceptions. He’s been zipping the ball around the yard with 71.9% completions. Along with the arm, Jackson has gashed the Dolphins and Cardinals for 126 rushing yards. The Ravens scored just 23 points in a 23-17 win in Week 2. However, it’s almost a given that the Ravens did not empty the playbook against the Cardinals. They were already focused on the Ravens this week as well. Baltimore were just fortunate enough to avoid the look ahead spot.

The Ravens have the edge defensively in this showdown. Even though KC looked good against the Raiders, I want to see more out of them against a quality offense. Lamar and the Ravens will give them that test. The Ravens are 1st in total team offense with an average of 541.5 yards per game. The rushing game has been unbeatable, as they’ve rushed for 223.5 yards for 1st in the NFL. They’re first by a long shot, with the Colts averaging 185 yards per game for 2nd.

Defensively, the Ravens have been outstanding against the run as well. They have allowed an average of only 20.5 yards per game on the ground. However, the Ravens haven’t been as effective against the pass, with 254 passing yards allowed per game for 18th in the league. Mahomes and the Chiefs are fully capable of abandoning the run and still manage to light the scoreboard up.

Andy Reid and the Chiefs aren’t dumb enough to just keep feeding the run if isn’t working. They’ll simply adjust and let Mahomes go to work. This should be an entertaining matchup on Sunday. The offenses are likely going to take over, with a final score of 34-27 or 30-26 to put this matchup OVER the total.

The Bet
OVER 52.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.