Saints vs. Bills Pick – NFL Week 10

The New Orleans Saints take their show to the north up in Buffalo on Sunday. It’s a critical game for both of these teams, as playoff implications start to take a grip on the NFL. The Saints are a surprising 6-2, while the Bills are hanging in there with a record of 5-3. The Saints are locked with the Panthers with six wins each. For the Bills, it will probably take an injury to Tom Brady to keep the Patriots from the winning the AFC East, but a wildcard is more of a possibility. The Bills doubters have neither of the abovementioned scenarios happening, which I can’t argue against, they’ve been known to choke away opportunities.

The Bills have been hit-and-miss in 2017. They have some good wins on their resume, including a win over the Raiders and the Falcons, and then there’s the bad. Most notably, the Bills are coming off a bad loss against the Jets. We picked up a winning pick on the Jets a week ago. It was the perfect storm for a letdown spot on the Bills, as they fell to the Jets in a Thursday night game. The Bills come into Sunday with an extra few days of preparation. If you look at the Saints and the way they’ve been playing, the Bills have to be feeling fortunate they have those extra days to prepare.
The Drew Brees era looked like it was in the tubes, but he’s turning back the clocks and has his teams in a position to reach the playoffs. Before the season began, you could have looked at this game and think, ick, that’s going to be an ugly matchup. But here we are in Week 10 of the NFL schedule, and this is one of the bigger games of the week. The Saints are coming off a 30-10 win over the Buccaneers.
They’re riding a six-game winning streak, after they started the year at 0-2. No one believed in them before the season started, and there’s no way anyone believed in them after 0-2, and sending Adrian Peterson to Arizona. The running game has gotten better without Peterson. Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram have been shouldering the load. Kamara, a rookie out of Tennessee, has a 6-yard per carry average. The ultimate consequence is that Brees is getting a big helping hand on offense. He isn’t in 3rd and 9’s all game long with a running attack. The defense has also improved tenfold. Get our free Saints vs. Bills pick below.

New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds:

Saints +3(-110)
vs. Bills -3(-110)

Over 47(-115)
Under 47(-105)

Betting odds provided by

Saints vs. Bills Pick:

The Saints haven’t been on the road since October 22nd in Green Bay, where they won by a score of 26-17. They’ve won three in a row on the road, and 3-1 overall. Their lone loss came against the Vikings in Week 1, a 29-19 loss. The running game has been impressive for the Saints, as has the defense. The New Orleans’ defense has been a mess ever since they won the Super Bowl in 2010. So, for around six years, the Saints haven’t offered any form of resistance. They enter Sunday allowing 326.6 yards per game, 15th in the NFL. Additionally, they’re allowing just 19.4 points per game, tied for 9th. Those are the kind of numbers no one would have predicted from their defense.

Even more, the Saints are 1st in the NFL on offense. They’ve overtaken the Patriots as the top offensive unit, with 411.1 yards per game. That’s about 20 yards better than the Pats. Brees has passed for 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He isn’t putting up the jaw-dropping numbers from the past, but considering the way his defense and running game is helping out, he hasn’t needed to pass for 4 touchdowns a game.

The Bills’ defense has been bending but not breaking. They’re giving up yardage, but allowing only 18.6 points per game, 6th in the NFL. They’ve been particularly effective at home where they are 4-0. Their defense is giving up 17.15 per game in Buffalo. The offense has also come to life in Buffalo. At home, the Bills are averaging 27.75 points per game, with wins over the Jets, Broncos, Bucs, and Raiders.

Tyrod Taylor has been as proficient as they get. He’s tossed 10 touchdowns passes with only 2 interceptions. He’s also rushed for 210 yards and another 2 touchdowns rushing. Taylor and the passing game will get a life this week, as Charles Clay should be back in the lineup. Barring any setbacks, Clay will be playing. We’ll also get our first look at Kelvin Benjamin as a Buffalo Bill. Buffalo isn’t the easiest place to play in the NFL. It’s the closest you can get to a college atmosphere. The chilly weather should work in the Bills’ favor, too. This looks like the perfect spot for the Saints’ winning streak to come to an end.

PICK: BILLS +3 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.