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Saints vs. Chiefs Pick – NFL Week 7

The New Orleans Saints enter Week 7 red-hot after winning two straight contests and bring their record to 2-3. Drew Brees looked dominant against the Panthers last week, and they’ll look to continue their ways as they take to the road to do battle with a solid Kansas City Chiefs squad.

Going into Kansas City is never easy, as their fans are quite rabid. The Chiefs enter with a 3-2 record, and also enter riding a wave of momentum after dismantling the Raiders in front of their home fans. The Chiefs do many things well, and it’ll be interesting to see if New Orleans’ high-scoring ways can be inflicted upon a solid defensive team in Kansas City.

It’s an intriguing stylistic match-up between these cross-conference opponents and it should be great to watch this battle play out. Both teams now hold post-season aspirations, and in the NFL, every win counts. Read on below for a full game analysis and an official betting selection for the Saints and Chiefs.

Saints vs. Chiefs Betting Odds:

Spread:
New Orleans Saints +6.5 (-110)
@ Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (-110)

Total:
Over 51.5 (-110)
Under 51.5 (-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Saints vs. Chiefs Pick:

The Chiefs dominated a red-hot Raiders squad last week, but that’s simply what Andy Reid-coached groups do coming out of their bye weeks. The trouble is usually everything else that comes in between. And also, the sloppy conditions helped out the Chiefs as well, as their game is much more tailored to that style. Today, the conditions will be fair for both sides and Kansas City will have their hands full with a loaded Saints attack.

When KC has the football, look for them to be able to run all over New Orleans. The Saints’ D is improved, but their run defence is still a sore spot. Big outings are to be expected from Jamaal Charles and Spencer Ware. Additionally, the Saints also aren’t all that great at covering opposing linebackers. Travis Kelce is in a dream matchup after a rough start to the season. The Saints don’t win games with their defence, but they’ll need them to be decent in this contest.

As is often the case, the Saints’ offence will simply need to outscore their opposing unit to keep pace. Their defence gets them in holes, and most times the Saints play well enough on offence to keep things tight. Expect that to happen again this week. New Orleans enters as one of the hottest offences in football, and I don’t think there are many, if any, groups that can stop them. Kansas City’s defences has really trended downward of late. Losing Justin Houston has been massive, and all reports say he still isn’t ready for game action. As a result, Kansas City’s pass rush will remain non-existent. The Chiefs also don’t have the same depth they used to. Marcus Peters is the only guy in their secondary that grades positively, and the problem in covering New Orleans is that they’ve got three or four guys who can hurt you downfield every single snap.

New Orleans should also get positive contributions from their running game and Mark Ingram. He’s been relatively quiet of late, but has been known to go off for some big days. The Chiefs right now are struggling with the ground and pound, and are also expected to be without Allen Bailey. He’s a big-time run-stuffer, and without him, look for holes and running lanes to open up for Ingram. This should free Brees for more shots downfield as well.

As anaemic as the Saints’ defence is, it is hard to ignore the quality of Brees and his offensive form right now. When Brees is an underdog of 6.5 or more points, he holds a 6-1 ATS record. With the way he is playing right now, this is simply too many points. The Chiefs don’t put up a ton of points either, so this number is magnified. I think Kansas City does enough to win, but New Orleans’ great offence will keep this game close.

PICK = Saints +6.5 (-110)