Saints vs. Giants Pick NFL Week 14

It was just a couple weeks ago that people were speaking of the rebirth of the Saints, that they were going to have a big resurgence in the second half of the season. That they were a team nobody is going to want to face in the postseason if they squeeze in. All of that has gone for nothing, because after 8 interceptions by Drew Brees in two weeks, the Saints playoff hopes look bleak.It has been very un-Brees like to go on a stretch like this, making mistake after mistake, handing opposing teams free points. The Giants are a funny bunch, they make you believe one week they have the capabilities of becoming a dynasty, and the next they don’t even look like a playoff team. This has been going on ever since they captured the 2007 Super Bowl, so I guess this method has been working for them in any case. The Giants recent stumble came on MNF against the Washington Redskins, dropping that one 17-16. With still a few games until the end of the season, the Giants are still susceptible to being caught in the NFC East at 7-5.

The Redskins have one of the more porous pass defenses in the NFL, so it was a bit of a surprise that the Giants only managed 16 points. Eli Manning passed for 280 yards with a touchdown, and Ahmad Bradshaw galloped for 103 yards on 24 carries, so they weren’t awful. However, against the lowly Redskins’ defense, you would expect monster numbers. Nevertheless, with the kind of offense they have, they can go off at any time. All you need to do is look two weeks ago against the Packers, putting a beat down on them 38-10. It could have been worse, but the Giants took the foot off the pedal come the fourth quarter. The Giants do tend to bounce back from bad efforts, so they should look much better against the Saints in week 14. The offense still ranks amongst some of the best, settling in at 10th, scoring 26.8 points a game.

In a Ravens-esque kind of way, the Giants have seemed to trade their defense in for some offense. The Giants are again a team that relied on their defense to be as successful as they have been. However, the offense has been the unit that has kept them in the thick of things. While the defense has looked better of late, they still sit back in 22nd in the defensive rankings. Talented linebacker Chase Blackburn is listed as questionable to start today. The Giants may not need much defense in this one, though, because Manning should be salivating over the Saints horrendously bad defense as they rank 30th in total team defense, allowing 27.2 points a game.

After two straight weeks of Drew Brees handing opposing teams gift packages wrapped with a bow, I think it’s time for Brees to break out of this funk. I think he will do just that. If history tells us anything about Brees against the Giants, it says that he has his best games against their defense. Brees is 4-0 against the Giants, tossing 11 touchdowns and no interceptions. His most recent demolition of the Giants came last year in a 49-24 romp. If there’s a week for him to bounce back big, this would be the one. Even after a couple of weeks of miscues, the passing offense is still 3rd in the NFL, passing for 294.2 yards a game. The offense also totals an average of 26.8 points a game.

Saints vs. Giants Spread and Betting Odds:

Spread:
New Orleans Saints +4.5 (-110)
@ New York Giants -4.5 (-110)

Game Total:
Over 53 (-110)
Under 53(-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Saints vs. Giants Pick:

Drew Brees hasn’t felt this way for a long way, to go a game without tossing a touchdown pass and feel so lost on the football field. Last week against the Falcons, his 54 game touchdown streak was snapped. An impressive feat, but Brees did it in improbable fashion, throwing 5-interceptions all the while. If there is anybody that feels ashamed at what has transpired this year for the Saints it is Brees. And while I don’t see the Saints sniffing the playoffs, Brees and company aren’t going to go down without a fight. As I alluded to earlier, Brees is nearly flawless against the Giants, torching them time and time again without much resistance. The last two times Brees has played them, the Saints put up 49 points in 2011 and 48 in 2010. Not too shabby.

On the other side of the football, the Saints’ defense presents a marvellous chance for the Giants to break out of this mini funk they’re in. After putting up only 16 points on the Redskins, I expect an explosion of points, more on the lines of their week 12 performance against the Packers. All the numbers and facts point to a high scoring affair with the score going over the posted total of 53.

PICK = OVER 53

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.