Seahawks vs. Broncos NFL Pick – Week 1

Out with the Paxton Lynch era and in with the Case Keenum era in Denver. It wasn’t much of an era, but John Elway and the Broncos washed their hands of Paxton Lynch in final roster cuts. Lynch is officially a bust, as Elway accepted that he made a terrible choice by drafting him. After watching him against Auburn in his final college game, he didn’t look like he was ready at all for good defenses.

That carried over into the NFL, where he wasn’t able to take advantage of bad college defenses from small schools. Lynch had a recent workout with the Detroit Lions, so we’ll see if they decide to sign him as a backup and release Matt Cassel. In any event, if Matthew Stafford goes out for an extended period of time, the Lions are pretty well screwed.

You can say that for a lot of teams in the NFL who lose their starting quarterback, but that’d be ugly for the Lions. The Minnesota Vikings said goodbye to Keenum and brought in Kirk Cousins to their signal-caller. Keenum worked his way up to the starting job in Minnesota and performed well, leading them to the playoffs and a win in dramatic fashion over the New Orleans Saints.

Keenum connected with Stefon Diggs along the sidelines to pull off a miracle win for the Vikings in New Orleans. Vikings’ fans will certainly remember him for that, but now they have Cousins and Keenum is in Denver. I think it worked out well for everyone involved. Keenum goes to another team with a strong defense, while the Vikes get what they believe is a franchise quarterback. They certainly paid him like a franchise quarterback. The Broncos will welcome the Seattle Seahawks to Mile High Stadium for a rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII. The rosters are different, but I expect there to be plenty of fire between these two squads. Head below for our free Seahawks vs. Broncos pick in Week 1 of the NFL.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos NFL Week 1 Betting Odds:

Seahawks +3 (-110)
vs. Broncos -3(-110)

Over 42.5(-115)
Under 42.5(-105)

Betting odds provided by

Seahawks vs. Broncos Pick:

The Seattle Seahawks did not look like the Super Bowl XLVIII Seahawks last season. They lost plenty of talent since then and are bringing a new look to this season as well. The brunt of the Seahawks’ issues was a result of a putrid offensive line in Seattle. When you have a good team like they did, everyone wants to get paid accordingly. That is going to leave some holes in some areas. With the Seahawks, they had to say goodbye to key cogs on defense and on the offensive line.

The defense no longer was intimidating opponents last season. The Hawks allowed the most points they’ve allowed in seven years, allowing an average of 20.8 points per game. Richard Sherman and Michael Bennett are gone, while Earl Thomas, Bobby Wagner, and KJ Wright are still on the roster. However, Thomas just ended a lengthy holdout and Wright is going to be out for a couple of weeks with an injury. Rookie, Shaquem Griffin, will start in place of Wright at linebacker on Sunday. Projected starter at cornerback, Dontae Johnson, is questionable this week.

The Seahawks drafted dynamic runner, Rashaad Penny, out of San Diego State to give a boost to the running game, but the offensive line remains a problem. Penny ran through holes the size of Mack trucks at San Diego State, he won’t running behind this line. Pro Football Focus ranks their offensive line 30th in the NFL, this is with a healthy DJ Fluker. Fluker has been ruled out for Week 1, so the Seahawks have been forced to reshuffle their offensive line already. It’s not the best formula going into Denver to play that 3rd best defense from 2017. They allowed just 89.4 yards on the ground per game and 200.6 yards passing.

Russell Wilson is likely going to have this game on his back. He’s going to have to run around and improvise to put points on the board. I don’t expect much from Seattle upfront against this stout Denver defensive unit. The defense saved the Broncos a season ago as they had zero offense to assist. With a quarterback that can walk and tie his own shoes in Denver this year, their offense is going to see an increase in production. At the end of the day, though, the Broncos are going to take advantage of a weak Seattle offensive line. Keenum and the offense just have to avoid turning the ball over and making mistakes. Also, note that in the Pete Carroll era, the Seahawks have gone 1-7 in their first road game of the year. That likely goes to 1-8 on Sunday at Mile High.

The Bet: BRONCOS -3 (-110)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.