Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Week 17 Pick – NFL January 3

Seattle Seahawks (11-4) at San Francisco 49ers (6-9)

Series:

The Seahawks have won 12 of the last 14 games in this series and have a 27-17 lead on the series. Seattle received a wake-up call in the 17-12 home loss to the Giants in Week 13. The 49ers have lost six of their last eight including a 37-27 loss to Seattle in Week 8. In that game, Russell Wilson fired four touchdown passes, two to DK Metcalf, as the ‘Hawks built 30-7 lead and coasted to any easy win.

Vs. The Spread:

The total has gone UNDER in each of the Seahawks’ last seven games. Seattle is 15-4 ATS in each of the last seven games against the 49ers, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road tilts. The total has also been UNDER in four of San Francisco’s last six games and the 49ers are 1-6 ATS at home this season.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Seattle Seahawks -7 (-105) -325 O 45½ (-112)
San Francisco 49ers +7 (-115) +270 U 45½ (-108)

Last Week:

The Seahawks’ defense turned in another dominating performance in a 20-9 rout of the Rams. Russell Wilson put Seattle ahead for good when he capped a 7-play, 75-yard drive with his own 4-yard run. He later hit tight end Jacob Hollister with a 13-yard touchdown pass.

San Francisco’s defense dug in and stymied the Arizona Cardinals playoff hopes – at least for one week – as the Niners held the Cards to 350 total yards in a 20-12 win. CJ Beathard threw for only 182 yards put tossed two touchdowns passes. Four of the last five Cardinals drives were either ended with turnovers or on downs.

When the Seahawks Have the Ball:

Seattle Seahawks LogoAs DK Metcalf caught 12 balls for 161 yards and the two scores, the idea of getting him the football early and often has to be atop the Seahawks game plan. However, this was in Week 8 when “Let Russell Cook” was the theme and it helped hide a young, injured, and growing defense that had struggled through the first half of the season.

Although running back Chris Carson has been stymied with injuries, 115 yards from scrimmage will get him 1,000 for the season. Wide out Tyler Lockett has a career high 88 receptions and looks for 36 receiving yards to go over 1,000 for the second year in a row.

The 49ers’ defense under defensive coordinator Robert Sallah is a solid matchup for any team. It is fourth against the pass (211 yards) and sixth against the run (105 yards). Arizona had 100 yards on the ground last week and it was the first 100-plus rushing day for an opponent in three weeks. Linebacker Fred Warner had 14 tackles, three defensed passes, a forced fumble, and a fumble recovery last week.

When the 49ers Have the Ball:

San Francisco 49ers LogoWith a backup quarterback in CJ Beathard and getaway day in the NFL, this one can be another domination for the Seahawks defense if San Francisco doesn’t get something going early and sustain it. Beathard passed for 201 yards in his only previous start against Seattle.

Niners running back Jeff Wilson rushed for 183 yards on 21 carries.

Did we dare doubt coach Pete Carroll and defensive coordinator Ken Norton, Jr., would get the Seahawks defense fixed and in a big way? The unit has only given up 82 points in it’s last six games as it is the main reason that the Seahawks are streaking down the stretch and into an NFC West champion and a potential No.1 seed in the NFC. This team’s pass rush has come alive with 34 quarterback sacks in it’s last eight games. Safety Jamal Adams is back and healthy and piling up quarterback drops as he leads Seattle with 9.5.

NFL Betting Predictions

Winner: Seahawks (-7) 23, 49ers 10
Over-Under: Take UNDER 46

The Bets
Seahawks -7
-105
OVER 45½
-112
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.