After an easy Browns cover Thursday night vs. the Bengals, our Week 10 here at The Sports Geek is off to an impressive start. We’ll look to carry that momentum throughout the rest of Sunday and it’ll start with the unappealing Jets hosting the red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers. We’ve viciously opposed the Steelers the past two weeks and you know what, we’re going to do it again in Week 10. Despite their great form at the moment, this remains an uninspiring squad that’s vastly punching above its weight at the moment. They’re on the verge of some regression, and we’re banking on that letdown coming today vs. a 1-7 Jets team. Though their record is abysmal, the Jets do a lot of things right. They unfortunately have very little offensive skill, because of some glaring quarterback deficiencies. With Mike Vick now at the helm though, and Geno Smith firmly planted to the bench, it will be interesting to see how that will impact the Jets as a whole. Read on below for further game details and our wager on this battle between two teams headed in opposite directions.
Steelers vs. Jets Betting Odds:
Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)
@ New York Jets +6 (-110)
Over 47.5 (-110)
Under 47.5 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv (Only sportsbook with spread still listed at 6)
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Steelers vs. Jets Pick:
Yes, I know the Jets aren’t a very good football team. They’re 1-7 hosting a Steelers team that now looks poised for a deep playoff run following their recent offensive displays. That said, these teams are a lot closer than most casual observers would expect. The Jets simply aren’t as bad as their record would indicate. They’ve found many ridiculous ways to throw away football games, and when you consider their strength of schedule, their current plight is a bit more understandable. Their last six contests have all been against teams above the .500 mark making it all the more difficult to get back in the win column. Let’s not forget, this ‘brutal’ Jets team played the Pats and the Broncos to tight games late in the 4th quarter. They’ve got that ability. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has feasted on one of the softest schedules in football. They looked great the past few weeks, but that was all at home, and a change in scenery might give this Pittsburgh squad a wake-up call. Especially given the fact that they might be a bit flat following last week’s destruction over their main rivals, the Baltimore Ravens.
Ben Roethlisberger is the hottest QB in football right now, but the Jets have the personnel to stop him. Despite their ineffectiveness at defending passes, they’re one of the top teams in the NFL at getting to the quarterback. The Jets enter Week 10 tied for 5th in sacks and we all know the problems the Steelers’ offensive line is currently facing. They looked pretty soft in the opening minutes against the Ravens and that should be magnified Sunday afternoon against a ferocious New York front-seven. Also, the Jets are a solid team in terms of stopping the run game – ranking 6th in the NFL, conceding just 3.54 yards per carry. Le’Veon Bell has been excellent for Pittsburgh, but it won’t be easy today. The Jets should be able to stop the run with regularity, and get to Roethlisberger on most dropbacks. Big Ben is in for a big hurt on Sunday.
On the other side of the football, Mike Vick will be a big upgrade over Geno Smith. The fact that they seem to have committed to him should only help boost the confidence and give the team some continuity moving forward. New York outgained the Chiefs last week, and the Jets should be able to take advantage of some key injuries within the Pittsburgh defense. It’s believed that all of Troy Polamalu, Ryan Shazier, and quite possibly Jason Worilds will all be out today. That’s huge for the Jets chances of moving the chains. Polamalu is having yet another campaign where he’s defying his age. He’s been great, and not having him will make things a lot easier for New York. Pittsburgh can’t stop the run so Chris Ivory is due to see some holes open up, while this should mean easier throwing opportunities for Mike Vick. The Jets should also be able to keep finding creative ways to involve the talented Percy Harvin to their offense. It should be easier against this Steelers defense.
After two historic outings from Roethlisberger and his Steelers, this is going to be a big letdown spot for the Black and Yellow. They’re banged up at key positions on defense and you can bet they’ll be overlooking what appears to be a disinterested and demotivated Jets squad. New York though is still playing hard and will be amped up to stifle Roethlisberger and have some success with Vick under centre. The Jets still hold a positive yard differential, impressive given their 7-1 record, and Pittsburgh historically has been a brutal road favourite under Mike Tomlin. It might sound ridiculous, but I’m thinking the Jets cover the 6-points and quite possibly win this game outright. Note: Jets +6 only available at Bovada as of Sunday AM at 9:00 EST.
PICK = Jets +6 (-110)