Week 3 in the NFL is already here and it has been a profitable two weeks for us at The Sports Geek in the NFL. I haven’t had a losing week yet and I plan to keep it that way. I also haven’t had a losing Sunday afternoon. This is a funny matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and St. Louis Rams. In the sense that the Steelers looked bad in week 1, but then came back and blew the 49ers out. Conversely, the Rams defeated the Seahawks in week 1, and then came back only to lose to one of the worst teams in the NFL, the Redskins. Something has to gives this week, as the Steelers and Rams meet in St. Louis. Ben Roethlisberger ripped the 49ers’ defense last week and the game was pretty well over after the first-half. The Steelers went into the break with a sizeable lead of 29-3, ultimately winning it 43-18. St. Louis looked sluggish against the Redskins, perhaps still a little hungover from defeating the Seahawks a week prior. Also, the Rams are a considerably better team playing at home than on the road. That episode has already played itself out this season and we’re only in week 3.
The Steelers in 2015 are based all around their offense. This isn’t the same Steelers team Roethlisberger was afforded when he first game in the NFL. He caught some luck going to a team that had a stellar defense, as well as a running game that featured Jerome Bettis. Roethlisberger leaned on the defense and run game to be the youngest quarterback to ever win a Super Bowl. Let’s give some credit to Roethlisberger too, but he wasn’t the focal point of the offense. To a great extent nowadays, Roethlisberger is the motor of the offense. He had his best season in the NFL a year ago, passing for 4,952 yards and 32 touchdowns with 9 interceptions. Roethlisberger was able to ease into being the main man on the Steelers over the years and now hasn’t disappointed as being the guy the team depends on.
The Rams retooled their offense in the offseason, shipping Sam Bradford off to Philadelphia in exchange for Nick Foles. Telling by the way Bradford played last week, the Rams may have made the right move. My goodness, what was Bradford doing out there? He legitimately played and looked drunk against the Cowboys. Even Brandon Weeden was outperforming him after Romo exited after breaking his collarbone. Chip Kelly better get it figured out there in a hurry. Foles looked great against the Seahawks, but was less than impressive against the Redskins last week. The Steelers look to avoid a letdown, and the Rams are looking to bounce back after getting sent back to earth in Washington.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. St. Louis Rams College Football Pick
Odds provided by Bovada.lv
Steelers vs. Rams Pick:
A lot was made about how good the Rams’ defense was going to be this season. But two weeks in, they won against the Seahawks with their offense, a 34-31 win in overtime. A week later they lost 24-10. They need to score more than 10 points, but allowing 24 isn’t good either. So, the Rams have allowed an average of 27.5 points in two weeks. The anemic offense last week could be blamed on playing in Washington and away from the dome in St. Louis. But the defense, I’m not sure what to blame it on exactly. They got pasted at home and then one of the worst offenses in the NFL moved the ball. I do think the defense will ultimately be the strongpoint of the Rams, but it might have to wait another week.
The Steelers may very well have the tops offense in the NFL. When it’s the end of the season, I expect them to be atop yards accumulated per game. They were good against the Patriots, but just couldn’t put the ball in the end zone. They did that against 49ers and lit them up for 43 points. The Steelers have averaged 458 yards over the first two weeks, over 20 yards better than the second place Patriots.
Now the Steelers get a valuable member of their backfield back, Le’Veon Bell. The Rams struggled mightily to contain the Redskins on the ground last week, so this could spell trouble for them. Against the run, the Rams have leveled out at 30th in the NFL. It is going to be tough on defenses now that the Steelers have a run game back as well. Nick Foles and the Rams’ offense should get back on the right track, though. The Steelers don’t have a model defense anymore. They’re 26th in the NFL in total defense, and I would be surprised if they move into the top 20 by the end of the year. Points should be scored tonight, so the OVER 48 doesn’t look like a bad bet at all.
PICK: OVER 48 POINTS (-110)