When Carson Wentz went down for the Philadelphia Eagles, their qualification for this year’s Super Bowl seemed pretty improbable. But yet, here they are – ready to roll in Minneaoplis, Minnesota for Sunday’s Super Bowl LII against the dynasty that is the New England Patriots.
Nick Foles has been superb in the absence of the talented Wentz, and it will be fascinating to tune in and watch the drama that will unfold on Sunday. Can the Eagles slay the dragon with their backup quarterback? It’ll be dynasty vs. destiny in this year’s edition of the big game, and that alone is reason to bet.
That said, the props are always another intriguing angle of Super Bowl wagering, and in this article we will focus solely on the Eagles’ player props. With their stellar stop unit and recent form, perhaps this is a group that is ready to dethrone football’s greatest dynasty. And if they are, you can bet there will be some big-time performances from some of Philly’s key players.
Also, as is often the case, if you shop around you will find some great numbers on some of these Eagles’ props online, so read on below for further insight and analysis for some winning selections for Super Bowl Sunday.
Nick Foles to throw an interception – YES (-135)
I am a big proponent of mapping out the game script before delving too deeply into your props. For what it’s worth – my initial glance of this Eagles/Patriots game was it’s going to be close, but I think New England starts out much stronger than they did last year. They’re not making up 25 points again against the Philadelphia defense. I think the Pats jump out to an early lead and the Eagles will be playing catch-up for much of the evening. As a result, I think this will put some pressure on Nick Foles to throw the ball more than he’s been used to in this offense. As much as Doug Pederson wants to ensure Foles is in comfortable spots, making high-percentage throws – it’s the Super Bowl and being conservative won’t knock off the Pats.
As a result, Foles is going to need to make some plays, and given the recent performance of the Patriots’ pass defense – it’s not going to be easy. Foles has played things safe, and has yet to turn the ball over, but New England has ramped up their defensive play in recent weeks. And even though they’re not traditionally huge on takeaways, they definitely have the personnel to force Foles into turnovers on Sunday evening. I foresee the Pats staying patient, not blitzing against solid protection – and covering well to force Foles to beat them in tight coverage downfield. In desperate situations, Foles will need to utilize the deep ball, and I am anticipating a pick or two on Sunday as a result of the Patriots’ defensive backfield approach.
Nelson Agholor Receptions – OVER 3.5 (-120)
Again, this plays into my theory that Foles and the Eagles will be trailing early on in the contest and will need to play catch-up football by airing it out. I am likely anticipating Alshon Jeffery being more of a downfield threat on Sunday, and as a result Foles will likely lean on the speedy third-year receiver Nelson Agholor. Agholor actually led the Eagles in receptions this year, and will be matched up against former teammate Eric Rowe.
Agholor has shaken off a ton of criticism from his rookie campaign and now is thriving for Philadelphia as their slot guy. He’s in a good matchup vs. Rowe, and I do think Foles will need to make a lot of safe throws down the middle to his trusted wideout Agholor. I think Bill Belichick will likely focus in on limiting the performances of Jeffery and/or Zach Ertz at the tight end position, and instead Agholor should be relatively free to make plays for the Eagles. Right now, Agholor has had a quiet post-season but is emerging as a trendy MVP selection for the Super Bowl. He’ll be in a position to succeed on Sunday.
Jay Ajayi Receiving Yards – OVER 17.5 (-110)
Another tie in to the above theory is that Foles will likely be scrambling for completions and coach Pederson will be seeking out opportunities for safe plays – especially early on to get his QB into a rhythm and build that confidence. While the former Dolphins running back – Jay Ajayi, isn’t known for his pass-catching abilities – I am anticipating some opportunities in this contest.
Though the Patriots have really picked up their game when it comes to stuffing passing yardage, they still rank quite low in limiting opposing running backs catching the ball. According to FootballOutsiders, they sit 22nd in this category – and Ajayi will be on the field a lot against New England. He also has surpassed 17 yards in three of his four contests with Foles as his quarterback, and I think Foles will be in dire need of some safe options at times in this game. Look for Ajayi to break a big one with a short little dump-off, to line your pockets on Super Bowl Sunday.