Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears Props Picks – NFL Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears Props Picks – NFL Week 5

Tom Brady and Nick Foles meet for the first time since Super Bowl LII in 2018. A lot has changed since then. Foles signed a four-year $88,000,000 deal with the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2019, and Brady left the New England Patriots for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this past offseason. He signed a two-year $50,000,000 contract to play for the Buccaneers.

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That will bring Brady to 45 years of age, so you have to think that he hangs up the cleats after this contract, right? He is still competing at a high level, and still one of the best in the league, but two more years of football should be enough for his body.

Foles flamed out in Jacksonville quickly, as the Jaguars felt some buyer’s remorse with Foles. He didn’t last long in Jacksonville as the primary guy for the Jags. Foles threw for 736 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in four games. He suffered a broken left clavicle in the season-opener, which was the beginning of the end for Foles in Jacksonville.

It almost feels like Foles does better as the secondary quarterback on a team. Foles did well when he replaced Mitch Trubisky two weeks ago against the Falcons. The Bears erased a 26-10 deficit in the fourth quarter on the back of Foles. He tossed 3 touchdowns and 188 yards to break out for the Bears. Problem solved at quarterback for the Bears? Not so fast.

Foles and the Bears were 19-11 losers in Indianapolis last week. The Colts have one of the most underrated defenses in the NFL, so I wouldn’t say it was all that surprising to me, though. Meanwhile, the Bucs are coming off an entertaining 38-31 win over the LA Chargers in Week 4. Brady went off for 369 yards and 5 touchdowns, as he connected with five different receivers.

Mike Evans led the team in receiving with 122 yards and a touchdown. Trap spot in Chicago on Thursday Night Football? Could be, but I’m just concerned about nailing some props tonight. My NFL props have been profitable in 2020. Hopefully we can add to it on Thursday night. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears props picks for October 8, 2020.

Nick Foles Pass Completions

Over 21.5
-114
Under 21.5
-114

Nick Foles took over for Mitch Trubisky and immediately put a charge into the offense. Trubisky was pulled after passing for 128 yards with a touchdown and interception on 13 for 22 passing. Foles completed 16 passes on 29 attempts for 3 touchdowns and an interception. The hope was that Foles would be able to carry the momentum over to Indianapolis, and while Foles could have been better, the Colts’ defense isn’t getting enough credit.

The Bears’ offense is a bit of a work-in-progress right now as well. Pinning everything on the quarterback isn’t necessarily fair when Allen Robinson is the only true reliable receiver on the roster. They really need another weapon or two to put some of the pressure off Robinson. Despite the poor performance last week, Foles still managed to complete 26 passes.

Surely his pass completion rate wasn’t strong, with 26 completions in 42 attempts, but easily cruised over 21.5 despite what was described as a bad effort. Foles went 16 for 29 after entering as the backup. He would have probably reached around 30 completions if he started.

The Buccaneers have been mediocre against the pass, with 247.8 yards allowed per contest for around the middle of the league. Foles should be able to have some form of a bounce back spot on Thursday night at home. That should lead to more than 21 completions against the Buccaneers.

The Bet
OVER 21.5

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards

Over 72.5
-114
Under 72.5
-114

Allen Robinson exploded in his sophomore season, as he developed into one of the most dangerous receivers in the NFL. Robinson caught 80 receptions for 1,4000 yards and 14 touchdowns in 2016.

His third year saw some regression as defenses put more resources towards slowing him down. Robinson hauled in 73 receptions for 883 yards and 6 touchdowns. Then he suffered a serious injury the following year after playing in just one game.

The Jaguars gave up on Robinson after that season, and the Jaguars swooped in to bring him to Chicago. Robinson regained his form in 2019, and is on the right path again this season. He had 1,147 yards of receiving and 7 touchdowns.

Most of this was done with most of the attention on him from opposing defenses. He’s the go-to option in the offense and continues to be the most dangerous weapon for the Bears. That’s great but he’s going to need some help.

Signing Cordarrelle Paterson isn’t it. Robinson has recorded 25 receptions and 331 yards with 2 touchdowns through three games. He’s coming off a strong performance against the Colts in Indianapolis. Robinson had 7 receptions for 101 yards and a touchdown for 14.4 yards per reception.

Preceding that outing, Robinson caught 10 balls for 123 yards a score. He’s recorded at least 74 yards in three out of four games in 2020. Foles will likely go back to his most reliable receiver on Thursday night. More than 72 yards looks reachable here for Robinson.

The Bet
OVER 72.5

Tom Brady Pass Completions

Over 23.5
-114
Under 23.5
-114

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers got off to a slow start in Week 1. They were 34-23 losers against the New Orleans Saints. The offense wasn’t in sync and looked rusty. That’s not too surprising given all of the new moving parts on the Buccaneers’ offense. I know it’s Brady, but everything looked disjointed.

However, the offense is beginning to heat up for Brady and the Bucs, including the deep ball which he’s been hitting recently. After a couple of games of shaking off the rust and getting more comfortable with his new teammates, Brady has been in a much better spot the last two games. Brady passed for 297 yards with 3 touchdowns on 25 for 38 passing against the Broncos in Week 3.

He followed up and broke out against the Chargers. Brady looked like vintage Tom with 369 yards and 5 touchdowns. He connected for 30 completions on 46 attempts in that performance. With Brady heating up, he should be able to find more than 23 pass catchers to hook up with on Thursday night. There are injuries to deal with on the Bucs’ offense, but feel confident in Brady picking up some easy completions underneath often.

The Bet
OVER 23.5
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.